Do I ship it?

Games3D Fighter3D Fighter + Split Screen

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Split Screen 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Split Screen

Only 8 developers shipped a Split Screen 3D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Kingdoms And Slaves, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $120 against a market of $1.5k. 16 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 4830% on the market, 16 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Split Screen
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Split Screen: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $120 (exactly $120)
Top 25% $3.3k (exactly $3,297)
Top 5% $4.8k (exactly $4,823)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 36
Announced 16
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 4830% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Split Screen
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, Split Screen
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 6,526 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $120, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $4.8k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
One Piece Burning Blood older $49.99 3,751 81% 113k $5.6M (exactly $5,625,375) Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd.
DAVIGO: VR vs. PC · EA older $24.99 1,200 84% 36k $900k (exactly $899,640) Davigo Studio
Fight Crab older $19.99 747 94% 22k $448k (exactly $447,976) Calappa Games
Cake Bash older $19.99 515 86% 15k $309k (exactly $308,846) High Tea Frog
Big Rumble Boxing: Creed Champions older $39.99 92 65% 2.8k $110k (exactly $110,372) Survios
FLASHOUT 3 older $19.99 55 61% 1.7k $33k (exactly $32,984) Jujubee S.A.
Fight Party older $4.99 112 78% 3.4k $17k (exactly $16,766) Mr. Vibin
PuckOFF older $19.99 25 64% 750 $15k (exactly $14,992) Kuura Playhouse
Dragon Fury older $19.99 15 60% 450 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) Esenthel
Sacrifice Your Friends older $14.99 14 71% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Astrolabe Interactive Inc.
Kingdoms And Slaves $6.99 23 82% 690 $4.8k (exactly $4,823) TGM
Carnal Rage $9.99 11 45% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) TailsUp4Tyranno
RAGDOLL UNIVERSE · EA $4.99 8 87% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) MageC
Bàito $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) drCaron97
ARVIS Knock Out! $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Mindfly Studio
Ranger Force $19.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) J Studios Gaming LLC
Pillow Fight $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) StudyFun
BumpBot $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) iFFeX

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.