Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Fighter › 3D Fighter + Space

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Space 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Space

Of 26 developers who shipped a Space 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $270 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 17 developers shipped in the last year and 31 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 300% on the market, 31 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Space
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $386 → $89 → $299 → $0 → $208 → $90 → $449 (still earning) → $987 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Space: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $802 (exactly $802)
Top 5% $3.0k (exactly $2,997)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 90
Announced 31
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 300% on the market, supply 90% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Space
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Bullet Hell
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, Linear
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 114 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $240, 1 in 4 over $800, 1 in 20 over $2.9k.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. All of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Galaxy on Fire 2™ Full HD 2012 · $355k The Wraith of the Galaxy 2023 · EA · $58k Obama Boss Fight 2021 · $57k Age of Gladiators II: Death League 2017 · $33k Dynasty Protocol 2026 · $19k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Galaxy on Fire 2™ Full HD older $7.99 1,479 77% 44k $355k (exactly $354,516) Fishlabs Entertainment GmbH
The Wraith of the Galaxy · EA older $11.99 161 81% 4.8k $58k (exactly $57,912) Whale Rock Games
Obama Boss Fight older $2.99 640 95% 19k $57k (exactly $57,408) xXx_Skipper_xXx
Age of Gladiators II: Death League older $12.99 84 71% 2.5k $33k (exactly $32,735) Creative Storm Entertainment
Dynasty Protocol $17.99 36 63% 1.1k $19k (exactly $19,429) Ellipses Studios
Geometry Survivor older $4.99 82 69% 2.5k $12k (exactly $12,275) Brain Seal Ltd
Timewell: Trail of Celestes older $17.99 20 85% 600 $11k (exactly $10,794) OZBER CIN
Bakemono - Demon Brigade Tenmen Unit 01 · EA older $19.99 17 70% 510 $10k (exactly $10,195) SuperSane Games
Flippin Misfits older $4.99 61 59% 1.8k $9.1k (exactly $9,132) Behaviour Interactive Inc.
Fairspace older $8.99 28 64% 840 $7.6k (exactly $7,552) Sub Orbital Software
Assassin Of Dombardos $9.99 10 80% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Saylor Games
Project RAZE: Fall of Terra · EA $9.99 7 100% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) FearForge Studios
ONAR - Off World Fighter $14.99 3 66% 90 $1.3k (exactly $1,349) Enter Yes Interactive
Assassin of Monsters 2 Spacenator $3.99 10 90% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) Saylor Games
Cape Warrior $2.99 11 81% 330 $987 (exactly $987) Saylor Games
No Final Run $8.99 3 100% 90 $809 (exactly $809) Nordstern
Dead Station Together $0.99 27 77% 810 $802 (exactly $802) cnsgames
Void Vanguards · EA $3.99 5 40% 150 $598 (exactly $598) Silvershard Studio
Lumos $8.00 2 50% 60 $480 (exactly $480) littledevx

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.