Do I ship it?

Games3D Fighter3D Fighter + Score Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Score Attack 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Score Attack

Only 15 developers shipped a Score Attack 3D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450 in the last 2 years and $180 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 8 developers shipped in the last year and 13 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 1110% on the market, 13 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Score Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $120 → $179 → $120 → $12k → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Score Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $1.6k (exactly $1,574)
Top 5% $5.2M (exactly $5,181,336)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 54
Announced 13
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1110% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Score Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, Score Attack; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, 2D Fighter, Arcade
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $59.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 3,719 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $450, 1 in 4 over $1.5k, 1 in 20 over $5.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles 2 $59.99 2,879 83% 86k $5.2M (exactly $5,181,336) CyberConnect2
Capcom Fighting Collection 2 $39.99 734 85% 22k $881k (exactly $880,580) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Buck Up And Drive! older $7.99 640 91% 19k $153k (exactly $153,408) Fábio Fontes
Crazy Kung Fu older $14.99 71 87% 2.1k $32k (exactly $31,929) Field Of Vision
Mutant Boxing League VR older $19.99 34 67% 1.0k $20k (exactly $20,390) Filmic Studios
Steel Knight's ARMIS $9.99 40 57% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) Izanami Game Lab, Inc., FORCES
Candy Smash VR older $4.99 78 76% 2.3k $12k (exactly $11,677) Wadup Games
Aster Fpv Drone Simulator older $19.99 13 69% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) Emmanuel Perrillon
Primordial Pain older $4.99 39 94% 1.2k $5.8k (exactly $5,838) Jan Malitschek
Revenge Master older $4.99 15 73% 450 $2.2k (exactly $2,246) RienSoldovsky
CPU Invaders - Aim Hero $0.99 53 100% 1.6k $1.6k (exactly $1,574) Microblast Games
Goofy Golfette · EA $13.99 2 100% 60 $839 (exactly $839) Tiba Studio
No Final Run $8.99 3 100% 90 $809 (exactly $809) Nordstern
Dalafri $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Y.Kageyama
Inkoid $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Spacecowboy
Home Invaders $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Umongus
Bàito $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) drCaron97

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.