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Should I ship a Sci-fi 3D Fighter?
3D Fighter + Sci-fi
Of 52 developers who shipped a Sci-fi 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 89 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $450 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 29 developers shipped in the last year and 89 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $89 (exactly $89) |
|---|---|
| Median | $449 (exactly $449) |
| Top 25% | $3.1k (exactly $3,120) |
| Top 5% | $109k (exactly $108,726) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 52 |
| Released games | 202 |
| Announced | 89 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 27%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 3D Fighter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
- Sci-fi
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- 3D Fighter; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Adventure
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.00 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $15.00 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 79% positive over 1,840 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $89. 9 in 10 of the 31 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 89 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
3D Fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ManagementFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot
- + RhythmLong shot
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + ModernLong shot
- + SimulationLong shot
- + FightingPoor odds
- + WrestlingPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | ELDERBORN | older | $14.99 | 2,229 87% | 67k | $1.0M (exactly $1,002,381) | Hyperstrange |
| | Galaxy on Fire 2™ Full HD | older | $7.99 | 1,479 77% | 44k | $355k (exactly $354,516) | Fishlabs Entertainment GmbH |
| | Inquisitor’s Heart and Soul | $12.99 | 635 80% | 19k | $247k (exactly $247,460) | Whale Rock Games | |
| | Spirit X Strike | · EA | $12.99 | 406 82% | 12k | $158k (exactly $158,218) | MAICHA STUDIO |
| | Blood Crawler | $12.99 | 279 76% | 8.4k | $109k (exactly $108,726) | c3アート | |
| | Hell Division | older | $13.99 | 191 83% | 5.7k | $80k (exactly $80,163) | Quacky Games |
| | The Wraith of the Galaxy | · EA older | $11.99 | 161 81% | 4.8k | $58k (exactly $57,912) | Whale Rock Games |
| | Cyberpunk SFX | $9.99 | 183 83% | 5.5k | $55k (exactly $54,845) | Whale Rock Games | |
| | Liuyin's world | $18.99 | 79 89% | 2.4k | $45k (exactly $45,006) | kingnagame | |
| | Age of Gladiators II: Death League | older | $12.99 | 84 71% | 2.5k | $33k (exactly $32,735) | Creative Storm Entertainment |
| | AI-deal-Rays [General Edition] | $5.99 | 112 58% | 3.4k | $20k (exactly $20,126) | Riez-ON | |
| | Dynasty Protocol | $17.99 | 36 63% | 1.1k | $19k (exactly $19,429) | Ellipses Studios | |
| | FLAW | · EA | $15.00 | 36 77% | 1.1k | $16k (exactly $16,200) | Plasmeo |
| | Steel Knight's ARMIS | $9.99 | 40 57% | 1.2k | $12k (exactly $11,988) | Izanami Game Lab, Inc., FORCES | |
| | Wasteland with Robots | $9.99 | 34 94% | 1.0k | $10k (exactly $10,190) | Gamesforgames |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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