Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Fighter › 3D Fighter + Runner

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Runner 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Runner

Only 14 developers shipped a Runner 3D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Bloodthief, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180. 13 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper, while revenue is down 40% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 13 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Runner
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $179 → $179 → $539
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Runner: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $537 (exactly $537)
Top 25% $896 (exactly $896)
Top 5% $610k (exactly $609,895)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 52
Announced 13
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Runner
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, Runner
Price point
$2.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 1,107 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $540, 1 in 4 over $890, 1 in 20 over $600k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Bloodthief 2025 · $610k Buck Up And Drive! 2022 · $153k Save daddy trump 2: The Final Triumph 2021 · $7.9k RUN HARE RUN 2020 · $5.2k Save Daddy Trump 3: Rise Of Evil 2022 · $3.6k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Bloodthief $19.99 1,017 95% 31k $610k (exactly $609,895) Blargis
Buck Up And Drive! older $7.99 640 91% 19k $153k (exactly $153,408) Fábio Fontes
Save daddy trump 2: The Final Triumph older $4.99 53 86% 1.6k $7.9k (exactly $7,934) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
RUN HARE RUN older $4.99 35 68% 1.1k $5.2k (exactly $5,240) High and Wide
Save Daddy Trump 3: Rise Of Evil older $4.99 24 79% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, NTStudi… (Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, NTStudios, Blackthug)
冬眠（hibernation） older $6.99 16 100% 480 $3.4k (exactly $3,355) 玄机子
War Of Gold older $4.99 16 62% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
Money Theft $4.99 13 76% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Valkeala Software, Tero Lunkka
Vigaro Runner older $4.99 13 76% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
Soulsland 3: Spider Invasion older $4.99 10 100% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
MEMOLOGY: ESCAPE OF MEMES $0.99 35 91% 1.1k $1.0k (exactly $1,040) Gamesforfarm, Piece Of Voxel
Lawnmower Game Racing 2: Drunken $1.99 15 73% 450 $896 (exactly $896) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
eggboy · EA $18.99 1 0% 30 $570 (exactly $570) sadboy
Sycamore $5.99 3 100% 90 $539 (exactly $539) [untitledDev]
Beer Runner $1.99 9 88% 270 $537 (exactly $537) Bonittor Games
Nori Game $0.99 10 100% 300 $297 (exactly $297) Nori Game
Beat Your Boss $3.09 2 50% 60 $185 (exactly $185) Shiba Arts
Only Dodge! $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) berguy

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.