Do I ship it?

Games3D Fighter3D Fighter + RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an RPG 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + RPG

Of 85 developers who shipped an RPG 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 133 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $420 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 48 developers shipped in the last year and 133 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 133 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 85
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $539 → $1.2k → $270 → $1.6k → $539 → $297 (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 85
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $358 (exactly $358)
Top 25% $6.7k (exactly $6,747)
Top 5% $109k (exactly $108,726)
Developers, 2 yr 85
Released games 315
Announced 133
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, RPG; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action RPG, Combat
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $20.00 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $20.00 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 3,049 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $360, 1 in 4 over $6.7k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 9 in 10 of the 60 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 133 games are announced against 48 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Lost Judgment older $39.99 7,461 93% 224k $9.0M (exactly $8,950,962) RGG Studio
NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM 3 Full Burst HD older $19.99 10,749 89% 322k $6.4M (exactly $6,446,175) CyberConnect2 Co. Ltd.
One Piece Burning Blood older $49.99 3,751 81% 113k $5.6M (exactly $5,625,375) Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd.
ONE PUNCH MAN: A HERO NOBODY KNOWS older $59.99 1,692 53% 51k $3.0M (exactly $3,045,092) Spike Chunsoft Co. Ltd.
武林志2 (Wushu Chronicles 2) · EA older $19.99 795 41% 24k $477k (exactly $476,761) JiangHu Studio
Echoes of Yi : Samsara $19.99 444 67% 13k $266k (exactly $266,267) Runmeng
Legends of Hidden Sword · EA older $16.99 517 58% 16k $264k (exactly $263,515) 神经刀游戏工作室
Stickman Strikes: Conquer Fantasy World $11.99 642 78% 19k $231k (exactly $230,927) LGaoGame
The Knight Girl And Dungeons $11.99 397 67% 12k $143k (exactly $142,801) こねこぼくし
Kromlech · EA $29.99 136 65% 4.1k $122k (exactly $122,359) Perun Creative
Blood Crawler $12.99 279 76% 8.4k $109k (exactly $108,726) c3アート
Cultivation Magic World · EA $12.99 276 78% 8.3k $108k (exactly $107,557) DMG Studio
Redemption of Liuyin $18.99 137 83% 4.1k $78k (exactly $78,049) kingnagame
Snow x Hime $12.99 195 55% 5.9k $76k (exactly $75,992) Kazuya, tensun3d
King of Bones $7.99 316 85% 9.5k $76k (exactly $75,745) Gluten Free Games
Fight School Simulator $9.99 227 88% 6.8k $68k (exactly $68,032) Queen

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.