Do I ship it?

Games3D Fighter3D Fighter + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Robots

Of 24 developers who shipped a Robot 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 15 developers shipped in the last year and 37 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 60% on the market, 37 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $90 → $748 → $299 → $719 → $179 (still earning) → $49k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $76 (exactly $76)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $2.1k (exactly $2,098)
Top 5% $49k (exactly $49,336)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 82
Announced 37
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 60% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Spectacle fighter, Action-Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Anime, Cinematic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 501 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $76, median $300, 1 in 4 over $2.0k, 1 in 20 over $49k.

3 in 10 developers made under $76. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Clone Drone in the Danger Zone older $19.99 36,084 96% 1.1M $22M (exactly $21,639,575) Doborog Games
Override 2: Super Mech League older $29.99 118 60% 3.5k $106k (exactly $106,165) Maximum Entertainment
Hell Division older $13.99 191 83% 5.7k $80k (exactly $80,163) Quacky Games
The Wraith of the Galaxy · EA older $11.99 161 81% 4.8k $58k (exactly $57,912) Whale Rock Games
Cyberpunk SFX $9.99 183 83% 5.5k $55k (exactly $54,845) Whale Rock Games
PATLABOR the Case Files $34.99 47 65% 1.4k $49k (exactly $49,336) Chime
Electro Bop Boxing League $14.99 84 79% 2.5k $38k (exactly $37,775) Developer Dob
Fighting Robots older $2.99 228 54% 6.8k $20k (exactly $20,452) HFM Games
AI-deal-Rays [General Edition] $5.99 112 58% 3.4k $20k (exactly $20,126) Riez-ON
Battle RC older $4.99 87 87% 2.6k $13k (exactly $13,024) Blaster Games
Steel Knight's ARMIS $9.99 40 57% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) Izanami Game Lab, Inc., FORCES
Project RAZE: Fall of Terra · EA $9.99 7 100% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) FearForge Studios
King Static · EA $7.99 8 100% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) Spookto
Metal Combat $5.99 9 88% 270 $1.6k (exactly $1,617) Solar Studios
Boxing Machine VR $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Vnow Games
Legend of the Moon 2 $2.99 8 87% 240 $718 (exactly $718) GozipGame

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.