Do I ship it?

Games3D Fighter3D Fighter + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Precision Platformer 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Precision Platformer

Only 13 developers shipped a Precision Platformer 3D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, PathUp!, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $360 against a market of $1.5k. 11 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 11 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $539 (exactly $539)
Top 5% $1.5k (exactly $1,468)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 28
Announced 11
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 70% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, Precision Platformer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry 3D Platformer, Adventure, Platformer
Price point
$2.99 typical · top 25% priced $6.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cute, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $6.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 50 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $360, 1 in 4 over $530, 1 in 20 over $1.4k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tenders Fight older $4.99 26 96% 780 $3.9k (exactly $3,892) Isaac MENARD, Tom BOUTONNAT, Ethis CLAU… (Isaac MENARD, Tom BOUTONNAT, Ethis CLAUSS, Gabriel SOUSSI)
Flannel Amethyst older $4.99 20 65% 600 $3.0k (exactly $2,994) Valkeala Software
Vigaro Runner older $4.99 13 76% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
Music Man 2: New land older $4.99 12 75% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
PathUp! $6.99 7 85% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) Geghamyan Hrachya
Trouble In Paradise $6.99 4 75% 120 $839 (exactly $839) Vista Larga Games
Trump Searching Vigaro $1.99 11 81% 330 $657 (exactly $657) Valkeala software, Tero Lunkka
Sycamore $5.99 3 100% 90 $539 (exactly $539) [untitledDev]
Beer Runner $1.99 9 88% 270 $537 (exactly $537) Bonittor Games
Assassin Of Spider $2.99 5 80% 150 $449 (exactly $449) Saylor Games
Unconventional Ragdoll Game older $4.99 3 33% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Bacchus
Super Clown Ultimatum $3.99 3 66% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Cow Games
Escape From Lava $1.99 5 60% 150 $298 (exactly $298) Muhammet BAYRAKCI
Apex Ascent $3.99 1 0% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Avenax
Parkour Assassin: Sprint Run $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Apex Horizon

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.