Do I ship it?

Games3D Fighter3D Fighter + Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Platformer 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Platformer

Of 21 developers who shipped a Platformer 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $190 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 37 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 37 announced, ×5.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $297 → $1.8k → $809 → $60 → $299 → $239 → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $185 (exactly $185)
Top 25% $539 (exactly $539)
Top 5% $3.0k (exactly $2,998)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 90
Announced 37
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, Platformer; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, 3D Platformer, Hack and Slash
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, 1990's
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 1,057 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $190, 1 in 4 over $530, 1 in 20 over $2.9k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Bloodthief $19.99 1,017 95% 31k $610k (exactly $609,895) Blargis
Demon Skin older $9.99 102 67% 3.1k $31k (exactly $30,569) Ludus future
Stilt older $19.99 29 89% 870 $17k (exactly $17,391) Rekt Games
Whisper Trip older $4.99 90 60% 2.7k $13k (exactly $13,473) Walnut LLC
Save Daddy Trump older $4.99 65 81% 2.0k $9.7k (exactly $9,730) Tero Lunkka, BlackThug
Save daddy trump 2: The Final Triumph older $4.99 53 86% 1.6k $7.9k (exactly $7,934) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
Overruled! older $12.99 20 60% 600 $7.8k (exactly $7,794) Dlala Studios
Jelly Brawl older $9.99 20 75% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) Tiny Shiny Things
Go All Out older $9.99 18 61% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Blue Sunset Games
Gangsta Magic older $4.99 29 82% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
Xenrai $19.99 5 80% 150 $3.0k (exactly $2,998) Zenith Edge Studios
PathUp! $6.99 7 85% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) Geghamyan Hrachya
Trouble In Paradise $6.99 4 75% 120 $839 (exactly $839) Vista Larga Games
EGO $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) RAVAGE
Sycamore $5.99 3 100% 90 $539 (exactly $539) [untitledDev]
Beer Runner $1.99 9 88% 270 $537 (exactly $537) Bonittor Games
GG Tanks $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Rodrigo Pistorello Vidor
Escape From Lava $1.99 5 60% 150 $298 (exactly $298) Muhammet BAYRAKCI
Tag League · EA $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) NoGlyph Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.