Games › 3D Fighter › 3D Fighter + Perma Death
Should I ship a Perma Death 3D Fighter?
3D Fighter + Perma Death
Only 7 developers shipped a Perma Death 3D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, CRASHOUT, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 more are announced.
Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $150 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 7 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $150 (exactly $150) |
| Top 25% | $300 (exactly $300) |
| Top 5% | $419 (exactly $419) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 29 |
| Announced | 7 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 150% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 3D Fighter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
- Perma Death
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- 3D Fighter, Perma Death
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 3,015 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 7 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ManagementFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot
- + RhythmLong shot
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + ModernLong shot
- + SimulationLong shot
- + FightingPoor odds
- + WrestlingPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
Comparable games
ELDERBORN 2020 · $1.0M 
Skeletal Avenger 2021 · $81k 
Trailer Shop Simulator 2021 · $40k 
I See Red 2022 · $32k 
Whisper Trip 2021 · $13k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | ELDERBORN | older | $14.99 | 2,229 87% | 67k | $1.0M (exactly $1,002,381) | Hyperstrange |
| | Skeletal Avenger | older | $16.99 | 158 82% | 4.7k | $81k (exactly $80,533) | 10tons Ltd |
| | Trailer Shop Simulator | older | $4.99 | 265 73% | 8.0k | $40k (exactly $39,670) | GidAzGames |
| | I See Red | older | $9.99 | 106 90% | 3.2k | $32k (exactly $31,768) | Whiteboard Games |
| | Whisper Trip | older | $4.99 | 90 60% | 2.7k | $13k (exactly $13,473) | Walnut LLC |
 | История бомжа | older | $4.99 | 52 67% | 1.6k | $7.8k (exactly $7,784) | Quarlellle |
 | 冬眠（hibernation） | older | $6.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $3.4k (exactly $3,355) | 玄机子 |
 | Fat Prisoner Simulator 3 | older | $0.99 | 93 89% | 2.8k | $2.8k (exactly $2,762) | Kiddy |
 | Pinhead Adventures | · EA older | $14.99 | 3 33% | 90 | $1.3k (exactly $1,349) | Neversold |
 | Adam | older | $11.99 | 3 33% | 90 | $1.1k (exactly $1,079) | Teta Studio |
 | CRASHOUT | $6.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $419 (exactly $419) | STAGSTUDIOSLLC | |
 | Deltascention | $9.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | MRBartz | |
 | Mythopolis | $2.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $179 (exactly $179) | EnkeBit Games | |
 | Coin Hunter | · EA | $4.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Autistic players Studio |
 | Home Invaders | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Umongus | |
 | Glass Monsters | $3.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $120 (exactly $120) | SMAR Studio | |
 | Wellspring | $1.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Veilshred Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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