Games › 3D Fighter › 3D Fighter + Nature
Should I ship a Nature 3D Fighter?
3D Fighter + Nature
Only 16 developers shipped a Nature 3D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, King of Bones, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 9 developers shipped in the last year and 25 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $60 (exactly $60) |
|---|---|
| Median | $179 (exactly $179) |
| Top 25% | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) |
| Top 5% | $76k (exactly $75,745) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 50 |
| Announced | 25 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.20 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 3D Fighter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
- Nature
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- 3D Fighter
- Price point
- $4.20 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 395 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
3D Fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ManagementFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot
- + RhythmLong shot
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + ModernLong shot
- + SimulationLong shot
- + FightingPoor odds
- + WrestlingPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
Comparable games
King of Bones 2025 · $76k 
Firelight Fantasy: Vengeance 2022 · $60k 
Nemesis: Race Against The Pandemic 2021 · $4.5k 
Bird Game 3 2026 · $3.9k 
Flannel Amethyst 2021 · $3.0k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | King of Bones | $7.99 | 316 85% | 9.5k | $76k (exactly $75,745) | Gluten Free Games | |
| | Firelight Fantasy: Vengeance | older | $13.99 | 142 79% | 4.3k | $60k (exactly $59,597) | Quacky Games |
| | Nemesis: Race Against The Pandemic | older | $4.99 | 30 53% | 900 | $4.5k (exactly $4,491) | Arcade Theory |
| | Bird Game 3 | $2.49 | 52 65% | 1.6k | $3.9k (exactly $3,884) | Birdgame Studios | |
| | Flannel Amethyst | older | $4.99 | 20 65% | 600 | $3.0k (exactly $2,994) | Valkeala Software |
 | Cat Life | · EA older | $8.90 | 11 72% | 330 | $2.9k (exactly $2,937) | RedMoon Studio |
 | Meat Beating: No More Horny | older | $0.99 | 69 92% | 2.1k | $2.0k (exactly $2,049) | ThirstyGuysStudios |
 | Hunter Moonstrike : Ai NPCs version | $15.99 | 4 0% | 120 | $1.9k (exactly $1,919) | 10nstudio | |
 | Marble Smashers | older | $7.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $1.9k (exactly $1,918) | CrossPalace |
 | Epica | · EA older | $9.99 | 5 20% | 150 | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) | DEVSONG |
 | Kings of Cratia | $4.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | eniscoskun | |
 | KONG FU | $3.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $718 (exactly $718) | matthizzone | |
 | Base Blitz | $6.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $629 (exactly $629) | Soup's House | |
 | Arena Fighter | $2.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $179 (exactly $179) | TAHA Games | |
 | Anders II: The Cursed Coast | $1.99 | 3 33% | 90 | $179 (exactly $179) | Andrew Simon | |
 | Road to the Grand Master | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Kuantum Sim Games Inc. | |
 | Isle Of Nexaryth | $4.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Tugay Saydam |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.