Do I ship it?

Games3D Fighter3D Fighter + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Mythology

Only 17 developers shipped a Mythological 3D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.2 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 24 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper, while revenue is up 42940% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 42940% on the market, 24 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.3k → $30 → $7.2k → $17k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $45k (exactly $45,006)
Top 5% $459k (exactly $458,816)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 41
Announced 24
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 42940% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action RPG, RPG
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 1,321 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $45k, 1 in 20 over $450k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator · EA $24.99 612 81% 18k $459k (exactly $458,816) Contec Games
Kromlech · EA $29.99 136 65% 4.1k $122k (exactly $122,359) Perun Creative
Cultivation Magic World · EA $12.99 276 78% 8.3k $108k (exactly $107,557) DMG Studio
Firelight Fantasy: Phoenix Crew older $13.99 173 78% 5.2k $73k (exactly $72,608) Quacky Games
Swords Fantasy: Battlefield · EA older $11.99 167 78% 5.0k $60k (exactly $60,070) Quacky Games
Twelves:Shadow $12.99 154 35% 4.6k $60k (exactly $60,014) JuLu Studio
Firelight Fantasy: Vengeance older $13.99 142 79% 4.3k $60k (exactly $59,597) Quacky Games
Firelight Fantasy: Force Energy older $11.99 140 77% 4.2k $50k (exactly $50,358) Quacky Games
Liuyin's world $18.99 79 89% 2.4k $45k (exactly $45,006) kingnagame
Vienkiemis · EA $12.99 44 100% 1.3k $17k (exactly $17,147) dssob, SMEIVIS
Tutien Path $14.99 16 81% 480 $7.2k (exactly $7,195) Truong Thanh Triet
The Krampus Game · EA $29.99 1 0% 30 $900 (exactly $900) Gaming Limited
Thor - God of Thunder · EA $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Outlaw Games
Mythopolis $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) EnkeBit Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.