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Should I ship a Mystery Dungeon 3D Fighter?
3D Fighter + Mystery Dungeon
Only 7 developers shipped a Mystery Dungeon 3D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Elf Adventure: The Lost Castle, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 more are announced, ×8.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.
Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $120 against a market of $1.5k. 8 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $120 (exactly $120) |
| Top 25% | $809 (exactly $809) |
| Top 5% | $2.9k (exactly $2,936) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 25 |
| Announced | 8 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 85% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 3D Fighter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
- Mystery Dungeon
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- 3D Fighter, Mystery Dungeon
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 77% positive over 818 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 8 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×8.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ManagementFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot
- + RhythmLong shot
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + ModernLong shot
- + SimulationLong shot
- + FightingPoor odds
- + WrestlingPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
Comparable games
Skeletal Avenger 2021 · $81k 
Firelight Fantasy: Phoenix Crew 2021 · $73k 
Firelight Fantasy: Vengeance 2022 · $60k 
Firelight Fantasy: Resistance 2021 · $59k 
Moor 2019 · $7.6k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Skeletal Avenger | older | $16.99 | 158 82% | 4.7k | $81k (exactly $80,533) | 10tons Ltd |
| | Firelight Fantasy: Phoenix Crew | older | $13.99 | 173 78% | 5.2k | $73k (exactly $72,608) | Quacky Games |
| | Firelight Fantasy: Vengeance | older | $13.99 | 142 79% | 4.3k | $60k (exactly $59,597) | Quacky Games |
| | Firelight Fantasy: Resistance | older | $11.99 | 165 77% | 5.0k | $59k (exactly $59,350) | Quacky Games |
| | Moor | older | $14.99 | 17 76% | 510 | $7.6k (exactly $7,645) | BokehDev |
 | Jacob The Farmer | older | $4.99 | 50 74% | 1.5k | $7.5k (exactly $7,485) | Quarlellle |
 | Dark Days : Devil Hunt | older | $12.99 | 8 37% | 240 | $3.1k (exactly $3,118) | Mavi Game Studios |
 | Elf Adventure: The Lost Castle | $6.99 | 14 28% | 420 | $2.9k (exactly $2,936) | 430Games | |
 | Dragon Simulator Multiplayer | older | $0.99 | 84 72% | 2.5k | $2.5k (exactly $2,495) | FreezeNova |
 | Forgiveness | older | $3.99 | 7 85% | 210 | $838 (exactly $838) | GAZ |
 | Arrow Dungeon | $8.99 | 3 33% | 90 | $809 (exactly $809) | ParkDol | |
 | Bones&Darks | $1.99 | 6 50% | 180 | $358 (exactly $358) | Ahnes Studios | |
 | Dungeons Bomb | $3.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $120 (exactly $120) | MARIOZY | |
 | Find The Keys | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Nihad Muhammad | |
 | Mystic Origins | $7.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Matthew Lalande | |
 | Mega Load On | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Pavels Makarovs |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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