Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Fighter › 3D Fighter + Military

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Military 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Military

Of 20 developers who shipped a Military 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 10 developers shipped in the last year and 25 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 260% on the market, 25 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Military
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $180 → $1.1k → $772 → $748 → $299 → $0 → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Military: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $2.3k (exactly $2,338)
Top 5% $833k (exactly $833,166)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 77
Announced 25
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 260% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Military
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, Simulation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Cinematic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 3,009 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $360, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $830k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Chivalry 2 2022 · $56M 近畿霊務局 - Kinki Spiritual Affairs Bureau 2024 · $833k F-22: Air Dominance Fighter 2026 · $83k Hell Division 2022 · $80k The Wraith of the Galaxy 2023 · EA · $58k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Chivalry 2 older $39.99 46,707 79% 1.4M $56M (exactly $56,034,388) Torn Banner Studios
近畿霊務局 - Kinki Spiritual Affairs Bureau $9.99 2,780 92% 83k $833k (exactly $833,166) Noto Muteki
F-22: Air Dominance Fighter $19.99 138 91% 4.1k $83k (exactly $82,759) Digital Image Design Ltd.
Hell Division older $13.99 191 83% 5.7k $80k (exactly $80,163) Quacky Games
The Wraith of the Galaxy · EA older $11.99 161 81% 4.8k $58k (exactly $57,912) Whale Rock Games
Trailer Shop Simulator older $4.99 265 73% 8.0k $40k (exactly $39,670) GidAzGames
J15 Jet Fighter VR (歼15舰载机) · EA older $9.99 44 47% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Magicvalley Studio
Bakemono - Demon Brigade Tenmen Unit 01 · EA older $19.99 17 70% 510 $10k (exactly $10,195) SuperSane Games
Leave No One Behind: Ia Drang VR older $24.99 12 50% 360 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) Gaming 301
Mobile Front $4.99 48 77% 1.4k $7.2k (exactly $7,186) Mafty
Bridge Hunter · EA $9.99 12 100% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Double Light
Final Strategy $12.99 6 16% 180 $2.3k (exactly $2,338) Final Strategy Studio
Hunter Moonstrike : Ai NPCs version $15.99 4 0% 120 $1.9k (exactly $1,919) 10nstudio
Forest $3.99 10 0% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) Ihor Lema
Open Close Door $4.99 4 50% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Crane
Master Hanzi $3.99 3 100% 90 $359 (exactly $359) MasterHanzi
Operation: All Out $2.99 4 50% 120 $359 (exactly $359) MINDWIPE

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.