Do I ship it?

Games3D Fighter3D Fighter + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Futuristic

Of 36 developers who shipped a Futuristic 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 61 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 18 developers shipped in the last year and 61 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 405% on the market, 61 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 36
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $899 → $89 → $599 → $240 → $1.9k → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 36
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 5% $45k (exactly $45,006)
Developers, 2 yr 36
Released games 128
Announced 61
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 405% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Shooter
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 974 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $480, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $45k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 61 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Clone Drone in the Danger Zone older $19.99 36,084 96% 1.1M $22M (exactly $21,639,575) Doborog Games
Inquisitor’s Heart and Soul $12.99 635 80% 19k $247k (exactly $247,460) Whale Rock Games
Override 2: Super Mech League older $29.99 118 60% 3.5k $106k (exactly $106,165) Maximum Entertainment
Hell Division older $13.99 191 83% 5.7k $80k (exactly $80,163) Quacky Games
Die by the Blade older $19.99 128 57% 3.8k $77k (exactly $76,762) Grindstone, Triple Hill Interactive, To… (Grindstone, Triple Hill Interactive, Toko Midori Games)
The Wraith of the Galaxy · EA older $11.99 161 81% 4.8k $58k (exactly $57,912) Whale Rock Games
Obama Boss Fight older $2.99 640 95% 19k $57k (exactly $57,408) xXx_Skipper_xXx
Liuyin's world $18.99 79 89% 2.4k $45k (exactly $45,006) kingnagame
I See Red older $9.99 106 90% 3.2k $32k (exactly $31,768) Whiteboard Games
Fighting Robots older $2.99 228 54% 6.8k $20k (exactly $20,452) HFM Games
AI-deal-Rays [General Edition] $5.99 112 58% 3.4k $20k (exactly $20,126) Riez-ON
FLAW · EA $15.00 36 77% 1.1k $16k (exactly $16,200) Plasmeo
Steel Knight's ARMIS $9.99 40 57% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) Izanami Game Lab, Inc., FORCES
Wasteland with Robots $9.99 34 94% 1.0k $10k (exactly $10,190) Gamesforgames
Assassin Of Dombardos $9.99 10 80% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Saylor Games
Project RAZE: Fall of Terra · EA $9.99 7 100% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) FearForge Studios
Money Theft $4.99 13 76% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Valkeala Software, Tero Lunkka
King Static · EA $7.99 8 100% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) Spookto

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.