Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Fighter › 3D Fighter + FPS

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 3D Fighter FPS?

3D Fighter + FPS

Of 61 developers who shipped a 3D Fighter FPS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 89 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 30 developers shipped in the last year and 89 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 115% on the market, 89 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + FPS
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 61
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $359 → $449 → $450 → $179 → $478 → $120 → $179 (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + FPS: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 61
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $980 (exactly $980)
Top 5% $16k (exactly $16,200)
Developers, 2 yr 61
Released games 199
Announced 89
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 115% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, FPS; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Shooter
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 596 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $180, 1 in 4 over $980, 1 in 20 over $16k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. Nearly all of the 43 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 89 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Chivalry 2 2022 · $56M Gym Simulator 24 2024 · $986k NightClub Simulator 2024 · EA · $182k Aggressor 2021 · EA · $103k Fight School Simulator 2025 · $68k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Chivalry 2 older $39.99 46,707 79% 1.4M $56M (exactly $56,034,388) Torn Banner Studios
Gym Simulator 24 older $12.99 2,531 84% 76k $986k (exactly $986,331) Red Axe Games
NightClub Simulator · EA older $6.99 869 92% 26k $182k (exactly $182,229) mandegames
Aggressor · EA older $19.99 172 61% 5.2k $103k (exactly $103,148) Flashpoint Studios
Fight School Simulator $9.99 227 88% 6.8k $68k (exactly $68,032) Queen
Obama Boss Fight older $2.99 640 95% 19k $57k (exactly $57,408) xXx_Skipper_xXx
Drunkn Bar Fight 2 VR · EA $12.99 64 50% 1.9k $25k (exactly $24,941) Yooperlite
Vienkiemis · EA $12.99 44 100% 1.3k $17k (exactly $17,147) dssob, SMEIVIS
FLAW · EA $15.00 36 77% 1.1k $16k (exactly $16,200) Plasmeo
Guilty Loving Boxing older $19.99 22 95% 660 $13k (exactly $13,193) 痛風舎 (tsufusha)
Project Three · EA $7.99 39 23% 1.2k $9.3k (exactly $9,348) The Only Way Out
Blue Wyrm $3.99 66 93% 2.0k $7.9k (exactly $7,900) VERBAroots
Zilar: Empire Of The Underground $4.99 18 100% 540 $2.7k (exactly $2,695) Sthard Game
The Jiang Shi 2 ：Curse of Soul $0.99 78 94% 2.3k $2.3k (exactly $2,317) 谭浩翔
Project RAZE: Fall of Terra · EA $9.99 7 100% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) FearForge Studios
Conviction $3.99 17 100% 510 $2.0k (exactly $2,035) J-Bradford

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.