Do I ship it?

Games3D Fighter3D Fighter + Dungeon Crawler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dungeon Crawler 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Dungeon Crawler

Only 17 developers shipped a Dungeon Crawler 3D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Bloodthief, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×0.2 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150. 21 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper, while revenue is up 125% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 125% on the market, 21 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Dungeon Crawler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $719 → $1.2k → $150 → $2.9k → $450 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Dungeon Crawler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 5% $610k (exactly $609,895)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 58
Announced 21
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 125% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Dungeon Crawler
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, Dungeon Crawler; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Combat
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Anime, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 1,469 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $360, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $600k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ELDERBORN older $14.99 2,229 87% 67k $1.0M (exactly $1,002,381) Hyperstrange
Bloodthief $19.99 1,017 95% 31k $610k (exactly $609,895) Blargis
The Knight Girl And Dungeons $11.99 397 67% 12k $143k (exactly $142,801) こねこぼくし
Gladius | Gladiator VR Sword fighting older $14.99 286 74% 8.6k $129k (exactly $128,614) VirtualAge
Spider Queen cave older $18.99 159 40% 4.8k $91k (exactly $90,582) 帅宅快乐屋
Skeletal Avenger older $16.99 158 82% 4.7k $81k (exactly $80,533) 10tons Ltd
Ruzar - The Dark Stones older $17.99 21 76% 630 $11k (exactly $11,334) Hammer Glass Studio Inc.
Jacob The Farmer older $4.99 50 74% 1.5k $7.5k (exactly $7,485) Quarlellle
Dark Days : Devil Hunt older $12.99 8 37% 240 $3.1k (exactly $3,118) Mavi Game Studios
Elf Adventure: The Lost Castle $6.99 14 28% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) 430Games
Conviction $3.99 17 100% 510 $2.0k (exactly $2,035) J-Bradford
RAGDOLL UNIVERSE · EA $4.99 8 87% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) MageC
Arrow Dungeon $8.99 3 33% 90 $809 (exactly $809) ParkDol
Brawlers of Duality $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Polar Dewality Games
Golden Escape $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) GaniTani
Parasited Will · EA $5.99 2 50% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Underground Interactive
Bones&Darks $1.99 6 50% 180 $358 (exactly $358) Ahnes Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.