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Should I ship a Choices Matter 3D Fighter?
3D Fighter + Choices Matter
Only 16 developers shipped a Choices Matter 3D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $450 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 8 developers shipped in the last year and 33 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $446 (exactly $446) |
| Top 25% | $898 (exactly $898) |
| Top 5% | $459k (exactly $458,816) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 42 |
| Announced | 33 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 140% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 3D Fighter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- 3D Fighter, Choices Matter; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Character Customization
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, Third Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 81% positive over 703 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ManagementFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot
- + RhythmLong shot
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + ModernLong shot
- + SimulationLong shot
- + FightingPoor odds
- + WrestlingPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
Comparable games
Wrestling Empire 2021 · $1.8M 
Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator 2026 · EA · $459k 
Shuyan Saga™ 2017 · $117k 
Cobra Kai 2: Dojos Rising 2022 · $106k 
Boxing Club Manager 2022 · $104k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Wrestling Empire | older | $19.99 | 3,036 94% | 91k | $1.8M (exactly $1,820,689) | MDickie |
| | Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator | · EA | $24.99 | 612 81% | 18k | $459k (exactly $458,816) | Contec Games |
| | Shuyan Saga™ | older | $14.99 | 261 86% | 7.8k | $117k (exactly $117,372) | Lofty Sky Entertainment Inc. |
| | Cobra Kai 2: Dojos Rising | older | $49.99 | 71 42% | 2.1k | $106k (exactly $106,479) | Flux Games |
| | Boxing Club Manager | older | $39.99 | 87 57% | 2.6k | $104k (exactly $104,374) | Alternative Software Ltd |
 | Kinky Fight Club | older | $19.99 | 107 78% | 3.2k | $64k (exactly $64,168) | Mr Z Games |
 | Kinky Fight Club 2 | $20.00 | 36 91% | 1.1k | $22k (exactly $21,600) | Skyflare Studios, MrZGames | |
 | Kindred Fates: Combat Arena | older | $44.99 | 9 88% | 270 | $12k (exactly $12,147) | Skymill Studios |
 | Weekend Warriors MMA | older | $5.99 | 65 80% | 2.0k | $12k (exactly $11,680) | MDickie |
 | RUN HARE RUN | older | $4.99 | 35 68% | 1.1k | $5.2k (exactly $5,240) | High and Wide |
 | Assassin Of Dombardos | $9.99 | 10 80% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | Saylor Games | |
 | Casual Sport Series: Boxing | $5.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $898 (exactly $898) | Revulo Games | |
 | Lawnmower Game Racing 2: Drunken | $1.99 | 15 73% | 450 | $896 (exactly $896) | Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software | |
 | OutBreak: The Last Survivor | $9.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Briant Entertainment | |
 | Void Vanguards | · EA | $3.99 | 5 40% | 150 | $598 (exactly $598) | Silvershard Studio |
 | Mordar Warrior | $0.99 | 15 80% | 450 | $446 (exactly $446) | ZERO5GAMES | |
 | Deltascention | $9.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | MRBartz | |
 | Russian prison | $4.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | Queen of pain |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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