Do I ship it?

Games3D Fighter3D Fighter + Auto Battler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Auto Battler 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Auto Battler

Only 5 developers shipped an Auto Battler 3D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $38k against a market of $1.5k. 4 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 25.2 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 4 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Auto Battler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Auto Battler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $1.1k (exactly $1,078)
Median $38k (exactly $37,775)
Top 25% $438k (exactly $438,458)
Top 5% $459k (exactly $458,816)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 28
Announced 4
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Auto Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, Auto Battler
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 8 games average 77% positive over 1,710 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $38k, 1 in 4 over $430k, 1 in 20 over $450k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 4 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator · EA $24.99 612 81% 18k $459k (exactly $458,816) Contec Games
Wretch: Divine Ascent $14.99 975 75% 29k $438k (exactly $438,458) Ogopogo
Electro Bop Boxing League $14.99 84 79% 2.5k $38k (exactly $37,775) Developer Dob
RPG: Squad battle older $4.99 23 60% 690 $3.4k (exactly $3,443) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
Tapper's Fiefdom · EA $5.99 6 100% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,078) Fading Interactive
BLEST $6.99 4 0% 120 $839 (exactly $839) Oedipe Games
AI Fightclub older $9.99 2 0% 60 $599 (exactly $599) ImpressaEntertainment,Inc.
Eternal War older $3.99 4 25% 120 $479 (exactly $479) MaGames
Fight For Your Resurrection older $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Fabio Cecchini
FIGHT FOR YOUR RESURRECTION VR older $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Fabio Cecchini

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.