Do I ship it?

Games3D Fighter3D Fighter + Action RTS

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action RTS 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Action RTS

Only 11 developers shipped an Action RTS 3D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Spirit X Strike, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $900 against a market of $1.5k. 19 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 200% on the market, 19 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Action RTS
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $539 → $748 → $119
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Action RTS: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $2.3k (exactly $2,338)
Top 5% $158k (exactly $158,218)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 42
Announced 19
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 200% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Action RTS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, Action RTS
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 68% positive over 585 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $900, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Spirit X Strike · EA $12.99 406 82% 12k $158k (exactly $158,218) MAICHA STUDIO
Twelves:Shadow $12.99 154 35% 4.6k $60k (exactly $60,014) JuLu Studio
Leave No One Behind: Ia Drang VR older $24.99 12 50% 360 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) Gaming 301
DYNABLASTER older $19.99 5 80% 150 $3.0k (exactly $2,998) BBG Entertainment GmbH
Final Strategy $12.99 6 16% 180 $2.3k (exactly $2,338) Final Strategy Studio
Unbroken K2 older $9.99 6 66% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) KotarosDevgame
SaberStyle older $5.99 10 40% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,797) Lucky Cat studio
Gore Sword $9.99 5 20% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Gore Sword Games
War of the Fourteen Dynasties older $7.99 5 40% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Nathan Montgomery
Forest Spring older $5.00 7 42% 210 $1.1k (exactly $1,050) OAS
我的修仙世界My Xiuxian World $16.99 2 50% 60 $1.0k (exactly $1,019) CUI PU XING
SHARP FISTS $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) WANG LUGUANG
War Job $4.99 5 80% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Stupid games
Iron Skies $7.99 2 50% 60 $479 (exactly $479) Matthew Lalande
The Queen Riding Insects $1.99 2 0% 60 $119 (exactly $119) liu gao
封神演义沙盘模拟器 $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 风驰电掣的土豆

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.