Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Fighter › 3D Fighter + Action Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action Roguelike 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Action Roguelike

Of 46 developers who shipped an Action Roguelike 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 78 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $420 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 32 developers shipped in the last year and 78 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 78 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Action Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 46
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $299 → $1.6k → $60 → $809 → $419 → $76 (still earning) → $179 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Action Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 46
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $810 (exactly $810)
Top 5% $12k (exactly $11,988)
Developers, 2 yr 46
Released games 155
Announced 78
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 130% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, Action Roguelike; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Roguelike, Roguelite
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 70% positive over 721 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $810, 1 in 20 over $11k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 78 games are announced against 32 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

UNDERDOGS 2024 · $2.5M Echoes of Yi : Samsara 2025 · $266k Kromlech 2026 · EA · $122k Spider Queen cave 2023 · $91k Skeletal Avenger 2021 · $81k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
UNDERDOGS older $29.99 2,788 97% 84k $2.5M (exactly $2,508,364) One Hamsa
Echoes of Yi : Samsara $19.99 444 67% 13k $266k (exactly $266,267) Runmeng
Kromlech · EA $29.99 136 65% 4.1k $122k (exactly $122,359) Perun Creative
Spider Queen cave older $18.99 159 40% 4.8k $91k (exactly $90,582) 帅宅快乐屋
Skeletal Avenger older $16.99 158 82% 4.7k $81k (exactly $80,533) 10tons Ltd
Swords Fantasy: Battlefield · EA older $11.99 167 78% 5.0k $60k (exactly $60,070) Quacky Games
The Kingdom of the End＆The Witch of the Beginning older $8.99 182 64% 5.5k $49k (exactly $49,085) c3アート
I See Red older $9.99 106 90% 3.2k $32k (exactly $31,768) Whiteboard Games
Geometry Survivor older $4.99 82 69% 2.5k $12k (exactly $12,275) Brain Seal Ltd
Steel Knight's ARMIS $9.99 40 57% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) Izanami Game Lab, Inc., FORCES
CICADA $9.99 40 92% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) daimaGAME
Tutien Path $14.99 16 81% 480 $7.2k (exactly $7,195) Truong Thanh Triet
Nekurogahara: Ronin Psyche $39.99 4 75% 120 $4.8k (exactly $4,799) n1lknarf
InTheLake $4.99 16 100% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) ZhiZhi
King Static · EA $7.99 8 100% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) Spookto
Superation $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Moonsaurus Games
Wukong Fight in Kaoria $8.99 6 100% 180 $1.6k (exactly $1,618) 圣工作室

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.