Do I ship it?

Games3D Fighter3D Fighter + 3D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 3D Platformer 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + 3D Platformer

Of 108 developers who shipped a 3D Platformer 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 157 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 54 developers shipped in the last year and 157 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 125% on the market, 157 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + 3D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 108
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $150 → $358 → $179 → $120 → $299 → $359 → $179 (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + 3D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 108
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $240 (exactly $240)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 5% $60k (exactly $60,014)
Developers, 2 yr 108
Released games 387
Announced 157
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 125% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, 3D Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Action RPG
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 5,316 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $60k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 83 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 157 games are announced against 54 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Jujutsu Kaisen Cursed Clash older $59.99 3,051 60% 92k $5.5M (exactly $5,490,885) Byking Inc.
Fight Angel Special Edition older $19.99 1,776 75% 53k $1.1M (exactly $1,065,067) Red Fox
近畿霊務局 - Kinki Spiritual Affairs Bureau $9.99 2,780 92% 83k $833k (exactly $833,166) Noto Muteki
Bloodthief $19.99 1,017 95% 31k $610k (exactly $609,895) Blargis
Stickman Strikes: Conquer Fantasy World $11.99 642 78% 19k $231k (exactly $230,927) LGaoGame
Demon Sword: Incubus older $19.99 184 76% 5.5k $110k (exactly $110,345) Brianode
Cultivation Magic World · EA $12.99 276 78% 8.3k $108k (exactly $107,557) DMG Studio
Redemption of Liuyin $18.99 137 83% 4.1k $78k (exactly $78,049) kingnagame
Twelves:Shadow $12.99 154 35% 4.6k $60k (exactly $60,014) JuLu Studio
Liuyin's world $18.99 79 89% 2.4k $45k (exactly $45,006) kingnagame
Innocent Assault SS $10.99 79 84% 2.4k $26k (exactly $26,046) ひみつ結社キジネコ
AI-deal-Rays [General Edition] $5.99 112 58% 3.4k $20k (exactly $20,126) Riez-ON
CICADA $9.99 40 92% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) daimaGAME

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.