Do I ship it?

Games3D Fighter3D Fighter + 2D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 2D Platformer 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + 2D Platformer

Only 8 developers shipped a 2D Platformer 3D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Knock'Em Out, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $300 against a market of $1.5k. 7 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 7 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + 2D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for 3D Fighter + 2D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $839 (exactly $839)
Top 5% $57k (exactly $57,288)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 32
Announced 7
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, 2D Platformer
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 14,633 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $300, 1 in 4 over $830, 1 in 20 over $57k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 7 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
JoJo's Bizarre Adventure: All-Star Battle R older $49.99 14,344 91% 430k $22M (exactly $21,511,697) CyberConnect2 Co. Ltd.
Knock'Em Out $7.99 239 85% 7.2k $57k (exactly $57,288) BBear Studio
Mr.Brocco & Co older $9.99 21 90% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) VICTORIA Games
Wood Guy older $9.99 7 100% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) YSO CORP
Swordian Hero older $7.99 5 40% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Nacks Soft
Trouble In Paradise $6.99 4 75% 120 $839 (exactly $839) Vista Larga Games
MUSA older $8.99 3 33% 90 $809 (exactly $809) LENACLASSY Inc.
Pixel Ninja older $7.99 3 66% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Nacks Soft
Pushing Kids Off Bikes $2.99 6 100% 180 $538 (exactly $538) Kie James Yavorsky (Game Developer), Ya… (Kie James Yavorsky (Game Developer), Yavo (Kie Christopher Yavorsky) (Game Developer), Daniel Haddock (Artist), Al Lang (Voice Actor))
Neon Knights $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) VHornet Games
Backrooms: Poolrooms $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Mascot Bro Studio
生命蟲子 $0.99 2 50% 60 $59 (exactly $59) JQvQL
Monster and Snakes 1.1 $1.65 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Thomas van Esdonk
Cosmo Crush $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Zi-Zi

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.