Do I ship it?

GamesPvEPvE + 2D Fighter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvE 2D Fighter?

PvE + 2D Fighter

Of 96 developers who shipped a PvE 2D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 181 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $330 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 60 developers shipped in the last year and 181 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 181 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvE + 2D Fighter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 96
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $955 → $419 → $359 → $479 → $330 → $239 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvE + 2D Fighter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 96
Bottom 30% $61 (exactly $61)
Median $330 (exactly $330)
Top 25% $1.5k (exactly $1,497)
Top 5% $57k (exactly $56,970)
Developers, 2 yr 96
Released games 275
Announced 181
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvE
effort 6 / 10 · low · online co-op against AI still needs the whole netcode stack
2D Fighter
effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
PvE, 2D Fighter; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, 2D Platformer, Arcade
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Side Scroller
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 929 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $61, median $330, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $56k.

3 in 10 developers made under $61. 9 in 10 of the 49 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 181 games are announced against 60 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvE with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair17 devs · median $2.4k · 23 announced
  2. + IdlerFair161 devs · median $1.0k · 229 announced
  3. + MinigamesFair9 devs · median $899 · 14 announced
  4. + TypingFair23 devs · median $719 · 27 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds44 devs · median $163k · 97 announced
  6. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds50 devs · median $85k · 120 announced
  7. + HeistPoor odds18 devs · median $30k · 50 announced
  8. + MMORPGPoor odds34 devs · median $25k · 248 announced
  9. + Real-TimePoor odds10 devs · median $20k · 24 announced
  10. + NavalPoor odds21 devs · median $11k · 59 announced
  11. + SpaceshipsPoor odds16 devs · median $6.3k · 20 announced
  12. + MarsPoor odds10 devs · median $6.3k · 13 announced

All 243 pairs on the PvE page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Nickelodeon All-Star Brawl older $49.99 4,311 75% 129k $6.5M (exactly $6,465,207) Ludosity, Fair Play Labs
Nickelodeon All-Star Brawl 2 older $49.99 1,013 81% 30k $1.5M (exactly $1,519,196) Fair Play Labs
First Cut: Samurai Duel older $8.99 1,986 88% 60k $536k (exactly $535,624) Night Eyes Interactive
Shing! older $19.99 334 79% 10k $200k (exactly $200,300) Mass Creation
Asterix & Obelix: Slap them All! older $24.99 229 63% 6.9k $172k (exactly $171,681) Mr. Nutz Studio
Pulling No Punches older $9.99 563 95% 17k $169k (exactly $168,731) BrainDead Broccoli
SHIPS AT WAR · EA older $14.99 369 76% 11k $166k (exactly $165,939) Golddorf Spieleentwicklung
Unsouled older $19.99 265 72% 8.0k $159k (exactly $158,920) Megusta Game
Phantom Breaker: Battle Grounds Ultimate $24.99 205 84% 6.2k $154k (exactly $153,688) Rocket Panda Games Japan
Duelists of Eden older $4.99 856 95% 26k $128k (exactly $128,143) Thomas Moon Kang
Terrordrome - Reign of the Legends $19.99 168 72% 5.0k $101k (exactly $100,750) Huracan Studio
IGS Classic Arcade Collection $29.99 94 60% 2.8k $85k (exactly $84,572) IGS(台灣鈊象電子)
Decline's Drops $14.99 170 96% 5.1k $76k (exactly $76,449) Le Moulin aux Bulles
Trials of Valor $18.99 100 95% 3.0k $57k (exactly $56,970) Armored Goblin
Terrifier: The ARTcade Game $19.99 56 58% 1.7k $34k (exactly $33,583) Relevo
FIGHTING GIRL YURI $29.99 31 54% 930 $28k (exactly $27,891) UMAI NEKO
X-Out: Resurfaced $19.99 41 95% 1.2k $25k (exactly $24,588) KRITZELKRATZ 3000, Rainbow Arts
Heritage $9.99 44 72% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Big Three Games
River City Saga: Journey to the West $19.99 20 65% 600 $12k (exactly $11,994) Arc System Works, UnitePlus

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.