Do I ship it?

GamesMechanicsSkiing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Skiing game?

Skiing

Of 21 developers who shipped a Skiing game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 40 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $11k, ×18 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $560k, ×894 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 40 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 17.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 40 announced, ×4.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Skiing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.2k → $1.3k → $44k → $2.4k → $107k → $238 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Skiing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $11k (exactly $11,058)
Top 25% $99k (exactly $98,756)
Top 5% $562k (exactly $561,525)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 75
Announced 40
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Skiing
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Skiing
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 4,685 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $11k, 1 in 4 over $98k, 1 in 20 over $560k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 6 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 40 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Skiing

7 pairs · ranked by verdict, then medianwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Skiing + Sports Poor odds $16k 16 devs
  2. Racing + Skiing Dead $44k 7 devs
  3. Skiing + Snowboarding Dead $44k 7 devs
  4. Skiing + Snow Dead $33k 8 devs
  5. Skiing + Arcade Dead $16k 10 devs
  6. Skiing + Simulation Dead $16k 8 devs
  7. Skiing + Action Dead $2.4k 11 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Riders Republic older $39.99 30,458 81% 914k $37M (exactly $36,540,463) Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Pune, Ubisoft Odesa)
Steep™ older $29.99 30,589 82% 918k $28M (exactly $27,520,923) Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ub… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Kiev)
Sword of the Sea $29.99 1,638 89% 49k $1.5M (exactly $1,473,709) Giant Squid
Winter Resort Simulator 2 older $24.99 1,336 84% 40k $1.0M (exactly $1,001,599) Simuverse Interactive
TRIBES 3: Rivals · EA older $19.99 1,324 61% 40k $794k (exactly $794,003) Prophecy Games
Snowtopia: Ski Resort Builder older $24.99 828 66% 25k $621k (exactly $620,752) TeaForTwo
Lonely Mountains: Snow Riders $24.99 749 91% 22k $562k (exactly $561,525) Megagon Industries
Descenders Next · EA $29.99 389 79% 12k $350k (exactly $349,983) RageSquid
SNØ: Ultimate Freeriding $11.99 920 96% 28k $331k (exactly $330,924) Studio Gauntlet
When Ski Lifts Go Wrong older $14.99 519 87% 16k $233k (exactly $233,394) Hugecalf Studios
NGL Biathlon 2026 $17.99 198 93% 5.9k $107k (exactly $106,861) NordicGamesLab
Tricky Madness · EA $7.99 412 95% 12k $99k (exactly $98,756) Nathan Dearth
Slopecrashers $17.99 82 93% 2.5k $44k (exactly $44,255) byteparrot
Fresh Tracks $24.99 53 94% 1.6k $40k (exactly $39,734) Buffalo Buffalo
Ice World $9.99 111 57% 3.3k $33k (exactly $33,267) CoolRabbit Games
Ski Jumping World Cup $3.99 133 75% 4.0k $16k (exactly $15,920) Storm Trident S.A.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.