Do I ship it?

GamesSkiingSkiing + Simulation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Simulation Skiing game?

Skiing + Simulation

Only 8 developers shipped a Simulation Skiing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, SNØ: Ultimate Freeriding, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $16k against a market of $630. 20 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 25.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 20 announced, ×5.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Skiing + Simulation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Skiing + Simulation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $2.4k (exactly $2,399)
Median $16k (exactly $15,920)
Top 25% $107k (exactly $106,861)
Top 5% $331k (exactly $330,924)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 34
Announced 20
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Skiing
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Simulation
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Skiing, Simulation
Price point
$11.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 66,684 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.4k, median $16k, 1 in 4 over $100k, 1 in 20 over $330k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Skiing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SportsPoor odds16 devs · median $16k · 20 announced
  2. + SnowboardingDead7 devs · median $44k · 16 announced
  3. + RacingDead7 devs · median $44k · 14 announced
  4. + SnowDead8 devs · median $33k · 22 announced
  5. + ArcadeDead10 devs · median $16k · 13 announced
  6. + ActionDead11 devs · median $2.4k · 17 announced

All 6 pairs on the Skiing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Riders Republic older $39.99 30,458 81% 914k $37M (exactly $36,540,463) Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Pune, Ubisoft Odesa)
Steep™ older $29.99 30,589 82% 918k $28M (exactly $27,520,923) Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ub… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Kiev)
Winter Resort Simulator 2 older $24.99 1,336 84% 40k $1.0M (exactly $1,001,599) Simuverse Interactive
Snowtopia: Ski Resort Builder older $24.99 828 66% 25k $621k (exactly $620,752) TeaForTwo
SNØ: Ultimate Freeriding $11.99 920 96% 28k $331k (exactly $330,924) Studio Gauntlet
When Ski Lifts Go Wrong older $14.99 519 87% 16k $233k (exactly $233,394) Hugecalf Studios
The Ramp older $5.99 1,104 95% 33k $198k (exactly $198,389) Paul Schnepf
Grand Mountain Adventure: Wonderlands older $19.99 320 92% 9.6k $192k (exactly $191,904) Toppluva AB
NGL Biathlon 2026 $17.99 198 93% 5.9k $107k (exactly $106,861) NordicGamesLab
Tricky Madness · EA $7.99 412 95% 12k $99k (exactly $98,756) Nathan Dearth
Ski Jumping World Cup $3.99 133 75% 4.0k $16k (exactly $15,920) Storm Trident S.A.
Octohill Ski Tycoon $8.99 41 85% 1.2k $11k (exactly $11,058) DeuxBaguettes
Accolade Sports Collection (QUByte Classics) $19.99 4 75% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) QUByte Interactive
Ice Coast Revival $9.99 2 50% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Firn LLC
Bakken - Ski Jumping: Next Season $19.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) SE {} KS

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.