Do I ship it?

Games › Skiing › Skiing + Sports

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Skiing Sports game?

Skiing + Sports

Only 16 developers shipped a Skiing Sports game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Lonely Mountains: Snow Riders, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $16k, ×25 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $560k, ×894 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 20 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 25.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 20 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Skiing + Sports
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.2k → $1.5k → $11k → $107k → $238 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Skiing + Sports: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $238 (exactly $238)
Median $16k (exactly $15,920)
Top 25% $107k (exactly $106,861)
Top 5% $562k (exactly $561,525)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 55
Announced 20
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Skiing
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Sports
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Skiing, Sports
Price point
$11.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 2,981 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $16k, 1 in 4 over $100k, 1 in 20 over $560k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 6 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Skiing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SnowboardingDead7 devs · median $44k · 16 announced
  2. + RacingDead7 devs · median $44k · 14 announced
  3. + SnowDead8 devs · median $33k · 22 announced
  4. + SimulationDead8 devs · median $16k · 20 announced
  5. + ArcadeDead10 devs · median $16k · 13 announced
  6. + ActionDead11 devs · median $2.4k · 17 announced

All 6 pairs on the Skiing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Riders Republic 2023 · $37M Steep™ 2016 · $28M Lonely Mountains: Snow Riders 2025 · $562k Descenders Next 2025 · EA · $350k SNØ: Ultimate Freeriding 2025 · $331k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Riders Republic older $39.99 30,458 81% 914k $37M (exactly $36,540,463) Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Pune, Ubisoft Odesa)
Steep™ older $29.99 30,589 82% 918k $28M (exactly $27,520,923) Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ub… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Kiev)
Lonely Mountains: Snow Riders $24.99 749 91% 22k $562k (exactly $561,525) Megagon Industries
Descenders Next · EA $29.99 389 79% 12k $350k (exactly $349,983) RageSquid
SNØ: Ultimate Freeriding $11.99 920 96% 28k $331k (exactly $330,924) Studio Gauntlet
When Ski Lifts Go Wrong older $14.99 519 87% 16k $233k (exactly $233,394) Hugecalf Studios
The Ramp older $5.99 1,104 95% 33k $198k (exactly $198,389) Paul Schnepf
Grand Mountain Adventure: Wonderlands older $19.99 320 92% 9.6k $192k (exactly $191,904) Toppluva AB
NGL Biathlon 2026 $17.99 198 93% 5.9k $107k (exactly $106,861) NordicGamesLab
Tricky Madness · EA $7.99 412 95% 12k $99k (exactly $98,756) Nathan Dearth
Slopecrashers $17.99 82 93% 2.5k $44k (exactly $44,255) byteparrot
Fresh Tracks $24.99 53 94% 1.6k $40k (exactly $39,734) Buffalo Buffalo
Ski Jumping World Cup $3.99 133 75% 4.0k $16k (exactly $15,920) Storm Trident S.A.
Octohill Ski Tycoon $8.99 41 85% 1.2k $11k (exactly $11,058) DeuxBaguettes
Accolade Sports Collection (QUByte Classics) $19.99 4 75% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) QUByte Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.