Do I ship it?

GamesSkiingSkiing + Snowboarding

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Snowboarding Skiing game?

Skiing + Snowboarding

Only 7 developers shipped a Snowboarding Skiing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sword of the Sea, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×16 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 0 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $44k against a market of $630. 16 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 70.5 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 16 announced, ×16 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Skiing + Snowboarding
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Skiing + Snowboarding: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $11k (exactly $11,058)
Median $44k (exactly $44,255)
Top 25% $350k (exactly $349,983)
Top 5% $1.5M (exactly $1,473,709)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 30
Announced 16
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: too few recent games to read.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Skiing
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Snowboarding
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Skiing, Snowboarding
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 66,591 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $12k, median $44k, 1 in 4 over $340k, 1 in 20 over $1.4M.

3 in 10 developers made under $12k. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 0 developers who shipped in the last year, ×16 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Skiing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SportsPoor odds16 devs · median $16k · 20 announced
  2. + RacingDead7 devs · median $44k · 14 announced
  3. + SnowDead8 devs · median $33k · 22 announced
  4. + SimulationDead8 devs · median $16k · 20 announced
  5. + ArcadeDead10 devs · median $16k · 13 announced
  6. + ActionDead11 devs · median $2.4k · 17 announced

All 6 pairs on the Skiing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Riders Republic older $39.99 30,458 81% 914k $37M (exactly $36,540,463) Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Pune, Ubisoft Odesa)
Steep™ older $29.99 30,589 82% 918k $28M (exactly $27,520,923) Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ub… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Kiev)
Sword of the Sea $29.99 1,638 89% 49k $1.5M (exactly $1,473,709) Giant Squid
Winter Resort Simulator 2 older $24.99 1,336 84% 40k $1.0M (exactly $1,001,599) Simuverse Interactive
Descenders Next · EA $29.99 389 79% 12k $350k (exactly $349,983) RageSquid
The Ramp older $5.99 1,104 95% 33k $198k (exactly $198,389) Paul Schnepf
Grand Mountain Adventure: Wonderlands older $19.99 320 92% 9.6k $192k (exactly $191,904) Toppluva AB
Tricky Madness · EA $7.99 412 95% 12k $99k (exactly $98,756) Nathan Dearth
The Alto Collection older $9.99 263 94% 7.9k $79k (exactly $78,821) Land & Sea
Slopecrashers $17.99 82 93% 2.5k $44k (exactly $44,255) byteparrot
Octohill Ski Tycoon $8.99 41 85% 1.2k $11k (exactly $11,058) DeuxBaguettes
Gob Johnson's Downhill Marmalade $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) tophatsquid games
Yeti Ski $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) RetroBug

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.