Do I ship it?

Games › Skiing › Skiing + Arcade

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Arcade Skiing game?

Skiing + Arcade

Only 10 developers shipped an Arcade Skiing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Lonely Mountains: Snow Riders, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $16k against a market of $630. 13 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 25.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 13 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Skiing + Arcade
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Skiing + Arcade: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $16k (exactly $15,920)
Top 25% $99k (exactly $98,756)
Top 5% $562k (exactly $561,525)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 32
Announced 13
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Skiing
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Skiing, Arcade
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 93% positive over 2,303 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $16k, 1 in 4 over $98k, 1 in 20 over $560k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Skiing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SportsPoor odds16 devs · median $16k · 20 announced
  2. + SnowboardingDead7 devs · median $44k · 16 announced
  3. + RacingDead7 devs · median $44k · 14 announced
  4. + SnowDead8 devs · median $33k · 22 announced
  5. + SimulationDead8 devs · median $16k · 20 announced
  6. + ActionDead11 devs · median $2.4k · 17 announced

All 6 pairs on the Skiing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Lonely Mountains: Snow Riders 2025 · $562k SNØ: Ultimate Freeriding 2025 · $331k The Ramp 2021 · $198k Tricky Madness 2024 · EA · $99k Slopecrashers 2024 · $44k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Lonely Mountains: Snow Riders $24.99 749 91% 22k $562k (exactly $561,525) Megagon Industries
SNØ: Ultimate Freeriding $11.99 920 96% 28k $331k (exactly $330,924) Studio Gauntlet
The Ramp older $5.99 1,104 95% 33k $198k (exactly $198,389) Paul Schnepf
Tricky Madness · EA $7.99 412 95% 12k $99k (exactly $98,756) Nathan Dearth
Slopecrashers $17.99 82 93% 2.5k $44k (exactly $44,255) byteparrot
Ski Jumping World Cup $3.99 133 75% 4.0k $16k (exactly $15,920) Storm Trident S.A.
Skiing VR older $13.99 31 74% 930 $13k (exactly $13,011) DGMA
Winter Games 2023 older $9.99 38 65% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,389) Independent Arts Software GmbH
Down Fast VR · EA older $11.99 18 27% 540 $6.5k (exactly $6,475) HomeBrewGames
Speedonauts older $7.99 26 96% 780 $6.2k (exactly $6,232) World Away Games
Accolade Sports Collection (QUByte Classics) $19.99 4 75% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) QUByte Interactive
Gob Johnson's Downhill Marmalade $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) tophatsquid games
Yeti Ski $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) RetroBug
Ski Yeet $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Real Proper Hard Games
Ski Jump Champions $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Joonas Kaunisto

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.