Do I ship it?

GamesRacingRacing + Skiing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Skiing Racing game?

Racing + Skiing

Only 7 developers shipped a Skiing Racing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Lonely Mountains: Snow Riders, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×14 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $44k against a market of $630. 14 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 70.5 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 14 announced, ×14 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Racing + Skiing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Racing + Skiing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $2.4k (exactly $2,399)
Median $44k (exactly $44,255)
Top 25% $350k (exactly $349,983)
Top 5% $562k (exactly $561,525)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 29
Announced 14
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $17.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 85% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI
Skiing
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Racing, Skiing
Price point
$17.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 63,170 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.4k, median $44k, 1 in 4 over $340k, 1 in 20 over $560k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×14 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CapitalismStrong odds14 devs · median $8.6k · 7 announced
  2. + ModernFair32 devs · median $3.3k · 34 announced
  3. + TransportationFair39 devs · median $2.3k · 35 announced
  4. + AutomationFair11 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  5. + Grand StrategyFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + Time AttackFair44 devs · median $748 · 42 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair11 devs · median $657 · 10 announced
  8. + Time ManipulationFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  9. + IdlerFair19 devs · median $505 · 13 announced
  10. + Choices MatterFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  11. + City BuilderLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds14 devs · median $34k · 37 announced

All 165 pairs on the Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Riders Republic older $39.99 30,458 81% 914k $37M (exactly $36,540,463) Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Pune, Ubisoft Odesa)
Steep™ older $29.99 30,589 82% 918k $28M (exactly $27,520,923) Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ub… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Kiev)
Lonely Mountains: Snow Riders $24.99 749 91% 22k $562k (exactly $561,525) Megagon Industries
Descenders Next · EA $29.99 389 79% 12k $350k (exactly $349,983) RageSquid
Grand Mountain Adventure: Wonderlands older $19.99 320 92% 9.6k $192k (exactly $191,904) Toppluva AB
Tricky Madness · EA $7.99 412 95% 12k $99k (exactly $98,756) Nathan Dearth
Slopecrashers $17.99 82 93% 2.5k $44k (exactly $44,255) byteparrot
Shiny Ski Resort older $8.99 102 92% 3.1k $28k (exactly $27,509) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Skiing VR older $13.99 31 74% 930 $13k (exactly $13,011) DGMA
Winter Games 2023 older $9.99 38 65% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,389) Independent Arts Software GmbH
Accolade Sports Collection (QUByte Classics) $19.99 4 75% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) QUByte Interactive
Gob Johnson's Downhill Marmalade $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) tophatsquid games
Bahnfrei · EA $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) SchizoGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.