Do I ship it?

GamesSkiingSkiing + Action

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action Skiing game?

Skiing + Action

Only 11 developers shipped an Action Skiing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Descenders Next, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.4k against a market of $630. 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 3.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 17 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Skiing + Action
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Skiing + Action: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,399)
Top 25% $44k (exactly $44,255)
Top 5% $350k (exactly $349,983)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 35
Announced 17
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Skiing
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Action
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Skiing, Action
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 1,587 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $44k, 1 in 20 over $340k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Skiing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SportsPoor odds16 devs · median $16k · 20 announced
  2. + SnowboardingDead7 devs · median $44k · 16 announced
  3. + RacingDead7 devs · median $44k · 14 announced
  4. + SnowDead8 devs · median $33k · 22 announced
  5. + SimulationDead8 devs · median $16k · 20 announced
  6. + ArcadeDead10 devs · median $16k · 13 announced

All 6 pairs on the Skiing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Riders Republic older $39.99 30,458 81% 914k $37M (exactly $36,540,463) Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Pune, Ubisoft Odesa)
Steep™ older $29.99 30,589 82% 918k $28M (exactly $27,520,923) Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ub… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Kiev)
TRIBES 3: Rivals · EA older $19.99 1,324 61% 40k $794k (exactly $794,003) Prophecy Games
Descenders Next · EA $29.99 389 79% 12k $350k (exactly $349,983) RageSquid
SNØ: Ultimate Freeriding $11.99 920 96% 28k $331k (exactly $330,924) Studio Gauntlet
The Ramp older $5.99 1,104 95% 33k $198k (exactly $198,389) Paul Schnepf
The Alto Collection older $9.99 263 94% 7.9k $79k (exactly $78,821) Land & Sea
Slopecrashers $17.99 82 93% 2.5k $44k (exactly $44,255) byteparrot
Fresh Tracks $24.99 53 94% 1.6k $40k (exactly $39,734) Buffalo Buffalo
That Flipping Mountain older $6.99 145 91% 4.4k $30k (exactly $30,406) Jeff Weber
Ski Jumping World Cup $3.99 133 75% 4.0k $16k (exactly $15,920) Storm Trident S.A.
Accolade Sports Collection (QUByte Classics) $19.99 4 75% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) QUByte Interactive
Ice Coast Revival $9.99 2 50% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Firn LLC
Gob Johnson's Downhill Marmalade $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) tophatsquid games
Bahnfrei · EA $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) SchizoGames
Yeti Ski $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) RetroBug

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.