Do I ship it?

Games › Turn-Based Strategy › Turn-Based Strategy + World War I

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a WWI Turn-Based Strategy?

Turn-Based Strategy + World War I

Only 10 developers shipped a WWI Turn-Based Strategy in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Age of History 2: Definitive Edition, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $150. Revenue is up 1510% on the market; 11 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 1510% on the market, 11 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Strategy + World War I
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0M → $150 → $1.3k (still earning) → $450 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Strategy + World War I: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $450 (exactly $450)
Top 25% $32k (exactly $31,880)
Top 5% $779k (exactly $779,220)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 33
Announced 11
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1510% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
World War I
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Turn-Based Strategy
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 83% positive over 3,229 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $450, 1 in 4 over $31k, 1 in 20 over $770k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 11 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Strategy with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaFair12 devs · median $19k · 17 announced
  2. + Cold WarFair18 devs · median $9.9k · 22 announced
  3. + RomeFair15 devs · median $9.0k · 18 announced
  4. + LootFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  6. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $3.7k · 12 announced
  7. + IdlerFair50 devs · median $3.6k · 45 announced
  8. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  9. + TanksFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  10. + SokobanFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 11 announced
  11. + Top-Down ShooterFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + SpaceFair107 devs · median $1.5k · 143 announced

All 187 pairs on the Turn-Based Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Age of History II 2018 · $8.6M Ultimate Admiral: Dreadnoughts 2023 · $7.0M Axis & Allies 1942 Online 2021 · $2.9M The Great War: Western Front™ 2023 · $2.9M Scythe: Digital Edition 2018 · $1.9M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Age of History II older $5.99 47,614 89% 1.4M $8.6M (exactly $8,556,236) Łukasz Jakowski
Ultimate Admiral: Dreadnoughts older $34.99 6,664 62% 200k $7.0M (exactly $6,995,201) Game-Labs
Axis & Allies 1942 Online older $19.99 4,810 78% 144k $2.9M (exactly $2,884,557) Beamdog
The Great War: Western Front™ older $34.99 2,733 66% 82k $2.9M (exactly $2,868,830) Petroglyph
Scythe: Digital Edition older $19.99 3,164 89% 95k $1.9M (exactly $1,897,451) The Knights of Unity
Rule the Waves 3 older $39.99 855 87% 26k $1.0M (exactly $1,025,744) Naval Warfare Simulations
Age of History 2: Definitive Edition $9.99 2,600 83% 78k $779k (exactly $779,220) Łukasz Jakowski
Rise Of The White Sun - 白日升 older $24.99 721 86% 22k $541k (exactly $540,534) Maestro Cinetik
Strategic Command: World War I older $39.99 373 91% 11k $447k (exactly $447,488) Fury Software
Making History: The Great War older $29.99 396 75% 12k $356k (exactly $356,281) Muzzy Lane Software, Factus Games
Warnament $12.99 479 84% 14k $187k (exactly $186,666) Luden.io
Acceptable Losses $7.99 133 80% 4.0k $32k (exactly $31,880) Zann Archive
Home Before Winter (HBW) · EA $4.99 9 88% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) Core Reaction Studios
Italia 1915–1918 : Great War Logistics · EA $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Carrot Game Studio
Toon Troops Strategy $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) New Angle Digital
Daily War Online $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Xorbis
World War 3: Card Battler · EA $0.99 4 50% 120 $119 (exactly $119) Angel Star Studios
Battleships Combat: Evolved $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Mantegral Studio
Imperial Command $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Skie Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.