Do I ship it?

Games › Turn-Based Strategy › Turn-Based Strategy + Wuxia

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Wuxia Turn-Based Strategy?

Turn-Based Strategy + Wuxia

Only 12 developers shipped a Wuxia Turn-Based Strategy in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, 龙胤立志传, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $19k, ×30 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $4.5k. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 17 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 30.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 17 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Strategy + Wuxia
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Turn-Based Strategy + Wuxia: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $4.4k (exactly $4,429)
Median $19k (exactly $19,012)
Top 25% $634k (exactly $634,151)
Top 5% $4.3M (exactly $4,289,654)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 25
Announced 17
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 1000% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Wuxia
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Strategy
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 12,717 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $4.5k, median $19k, 1 in 4 over $630k, 1 in 20 over $4.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $4.5k. 17 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Strategy with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Cold WarFair18 devs · median $9.9k · 22 announced
  2. + RomeFair15 devs · median $9.0k · 18 announced
  3. + LootFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  4. + MiningFair10 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  5. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $3.7k · 12 announced
  6. + IdlerFair50 devs · median $3.6k · 45 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  8. + TanksFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  9. + SokobanFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 11 announced
  10. + Top-Down ShooterFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  11. + SpaceFair107 devs · median $1.5k · 143 announced
  12. + SteampunkFair25 devs · median $1.5k · 30 announced

All 187 pairs on the Turn-Based Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Wandering Sword 2023 · $28M Hero's Adventure: Road to Passion 2023 · $12M 龙胤立志传 2026 · $4.3M Psychic Kung Fu Master 2026 · $1.0M 梦江湖 2022 · $809k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Wandering Sword older $24.99 37,034 94% 1.1M $28M (exactly $27,764,390) The Swordman Studio
Hero's Adventure: Road to Passion older $17.99 22,287 84% 669k $12M (exactly $12,028,294) 半瓶醋工作室（Half Amateur Studio）
龙胤立志传 $19.99 7,153 77% 215k $4.3M (exactly $4,289,654) TPP Studio
Psychic Kung Fu Master $19.99 1,723 60% 52k $1.0M (exactly $1,033,283) 金十四工作室
梦江湖 older $19.99 1,349 50% 40k $809k (exactly $808,995) 侠客工作室
The Forgotten Concluder older $24.99 894 74% 27k $670k (exactly $670,232) Kunpo Games
我来自江湖 From Jianghu · EA older $9.99 2,227 81% 67k $667k (exactly $667,432) Gamexel Studio
Destiny of Immortal · EA $11.99 1,763 80% 53k $634k (exactly $634,151) LeiYun Games
WindStop Strategy $9.99 1,494 78% 45k $448k (exactly $447,752) Xia Start
Blades of Jianghu: Ballad of Wind and Dust older $18.99 472 83% 14k $269k (exactly $268,898) 永恆艾莉絲工坊
Ascend From Nine Mountains · EA $19.99 324 92% 9.7k $194k (exactly $194,303) Nine Ascension Studios
长路江湖 - 九州群芳 $4.99 127 57% 3.8k $19k (exactly $19,012) SourceIn Games
神魔决之江湖行 $9.99 61 81% 1.8k $18k (exactly $18,282) 水狗工作室
DONG WU: ODYSSEY $5.99 26 65% 780 $4.7k (exactly $4,672) Ogopogo
武道残编 $3.99 37 59% 1.1k $4.4k (exactly $4,429) 武道
Legend of Swords II $2.99 9 55% 270 $807 (exactly $807) CWGame

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.