Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based StrategyTurn-Based Strategy + Sokoban

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Sokoban Turn-Based Strategy?

Turn-Based Strategy + Sokoban

Only 11 developers shipped a Sokoban Turn-Based Strategy in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Treasure 'n Trio, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×3.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $90. Revenue is up 50% on the market; 11 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 50% on the market, 11 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Strategy + Sokoban
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.2k → $1.3k → $2.1k → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Strategy + Sokoban: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Top 25% $3.5k (exactly $3,506)
Top 5% $109k (exactly $108,827)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 46
Announced 11
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Sokoban
effort 2 / 10 · high · grid pushing rules and level files

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Strategy, Sokoban
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 97% positive over 420 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaFair12 devs · median $19k · 17 announced
  2. + Cold WarFair18 devs · median $9.9k · 22 announced
  3. + RomeFair15 devs · median $9.0k · 18 announced
  4. + LootFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  6. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $3.7k · 12 announced
  7. + IdlerFair50 devs · median $3.6k · 45 announced
  8. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  9. + TanksFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  10. + Top-Down ShooterFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  11. + SpaceFair107 devs · median $1.5k · 143 announced
  12. + SteampunkFair25 devs · median $1.5k · 30 announced

All 187 pairs on the Turn-Based Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Slayaway Camp older $8.99 715 95% 21k $193k (exactly $192,836) Blue Wizard Digital
Treasure 'n Trio $14.99 242 100% 7.3k $109k (exactly $108,827) TNT
DUSK '82: ULTIMATE EDITION older $6.99 383 95% 11k $80k (exactly $80,315) David Szymanski
868-BACK $19.99 122 98% 3.7k $73k (exactly $73,163) Michael Brough
SOK older $4.99 223 88% 6.7k $33k (exactly $33,383) Siberian Mouse
Red Ronin older $7.99 119 87% 3.6k $29k (exactly $28,524) Wired Dreams Studio
SOK MIN older $4.99 116 90% 3.5k $17k (exactly $17,365) Siberian Mouse
Meet me at NooN older $9.99 55 100% 1.7k $16k (exactly $16,484) Pandaroo Interactive
Dr. Kobushi's Labyrinthine Laboratory older $9.99 50 94% 1.5k $15k (exactly $14,985) Symbolic Software
SOK MAX older $4.99 79 87% 2.4k $12k (exactly $11,826) Siberian Mouse
刻印战记1:法利兹传 $8.99 13 53% 390 $3.5k (exactly $3,506) Lycian Studio
Götz $4.99 17 88% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) Sleepy Seed
NTR Neko Maid: Erotic Favor $14.99 5 100% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) ハーフトーンドット
GluMe $4.99 14 100% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Solluco
Devour the Elixir $1.99 4 100% 120 $239 (exactly $239) 泉游工作室
Tombs Of Myra $2.99 1 0% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Asylum Square
Gebinden $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Bunnybear Games
BederSNAKE $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Yury Bederov

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.