Do I ship it?

Games › Turn-Based Strategy › Turn-Based Strategy + Dwarves

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dwarf Turn-Based Strategy?

Turn-Based Strategy + Dwarves

Only 7 developers shipped a Dwarf Turn-Based Strategy in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Hold The Mine, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.7k, ×5.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $3.3k. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 12 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.9 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 12 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Strategy + Dwarves
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Turn-Based Strategy + Dwarves: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $3.2k (exactly $3,236)
Median $3.7k (exactly $3,711)
Top 25% $79k (exactly $79,292)
Top 5% $152k (exactly $151,999)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 37
Announced 12
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: too few recent games to read.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Dwarves
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Turn-Based Strategy
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 246,570 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.3k, median $3.7k, 1 in 4 over $79k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.3k. 12 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Strategy with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaFair12 devs · median $19k · 17 announced
  2. + Cold WarFair18 devs · median $9.9k · 22 announced
  3. + RomeFair15 devs · median $9.0k · 18 announced
  4. + LootFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  6. + IdlerFair50 devs · median $3.6k · 45 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  8. + TanksFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  9. + SokobanFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 11 announced
  10. + Top-Down ShooterFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  11. + SpaceFair107 devs · median $1.5k · 143 announced
  12. + SteampunkFair25 devs · median $1.5k · 30 announced

All 187 pairs on the Turn-Based Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Total War: WARHAMMER III 2022 · $189M Total War: WARHAMMER II 2017 · $153M Total War: WARHAMMER 2016 · $58M Age of Wonders III 2014 · $6.3M Shadowrun Returns 2013 · $4.3M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Total War: WARHAMMER III older $59.99 104,822 71% 3.1M $189M (exactly $188,648,153) CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive
Total War: WARHAMMER II older $59.99 85,134 92% 2.6M $153M (exactly $153,215,660) CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (M… (CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux))
Total War: WARHAMMER older $59.99 32,105 79% 963k $58M (exactly $57,779,368) CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (L… (CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (Linux), Feral Interactive (Mac))
Age of Wonders III older $29.99 7,020 81% 211k $6.3M (exactly $6,315,894) Triumph Studios
Shadowrun Returns older $14.99 9,521 88% 286k $4.3M (exactly $4,281,594) Harebrained Schemes
SpellForce: Conquest of Eo older $29.99 2,149 80% 64k $1.9M (exactly $1,933,455) Owned by Gravity
Might and Magic: Heroes VII – Trial by Fire older $29.99 1,644 65% 49k $1.5M (exactly $1,479,107) Limbic Entertainment
Thea 2: The Shattering older $24.99 1,892 79% 57k $1.4M (exactly $1,418,432) MuHa Games, Eerie Forest Studio
Warhammer Quest (Classic) older $29.99 897 71% 27k $807k (exactly $807,031) Rodeo Games, Twistplay
Blood Bowl: Chaos Edition (Classic) older $14.99 1,386 79% 42k $623k (exactly $623,284) Cyanide Studios
Hold The Mine · EA $14.99 338 83% 10k $152k (exactly $151,999) Hookaria Games
Gargadusa's Tower $8.99 294 90% 8.8k $79k (exactly $79,292) The Math Team
Drill Rift $14.99 24 75% 720 $11k (exactly $10,793) Steam Veil Games
Dungeon Bomber $3.99 31 100% 930 $3.7k (exactly $3,711) 作っちゃうおじさん/TUKUCHAU-OJISAN
À La Mine $8.99 12 91% 360 $3.2k (exactly $3,236) Studio Dés Kréatifs
Dwarf Guild Mania $6.99 5 80% 150 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Quarkblue
Samgood Chronicles DragonFall $12.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) sammy chainsaws studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.