Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based StrategyTurn-Based Strategy + Vampires

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Vampire Turn-Based Strategy?

Turn-Based Strategy + Vampires

Only 9 developers shipped a Vampire Turn-Based Strategy in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Few Nights More, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.2k, ×6.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $170k, ×274 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 22 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 22 announced, ×4.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Strategy + Vampires
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.5k → $15k → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Strategy + Vampires: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $1.4k (exactly $1,363)
Median $4.2k (exactly $4,198)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $15,269)
Top 5% $172k (exactly $171,785)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 30
Announced 22
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Vampires
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Strategy
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 85% positive over 681 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.4k, median $4.2k, 1 in 4 over $15k, 1 in 20 over $170k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.4k. 5 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Strategy with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaFair12 devs · median $19k · 17 announced
  2. + Cold WarFair18 devs · median $9.9k · 22 announced
  3. + RomeFair15 devs · median $9.0k · 18 announced
  4. + LootFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  6. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $3.7k · 12 announced
  7. + IdlerFair50 devs · median $3.6k · 45 announced
  8. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  9. + TanksFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  10. + SokobanFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 11 announced
  11. + Top-Down ShooterFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + SpaceFair107 devs · median $1.5k · 143 announced

All 187 pairs on the Turn-Based Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Disciples: Liberation older $39.99 2,706 73% 81k $3.2M (exactly $3,246,388) Frima Studio
Wizardry: Proving Grounds of the Mad Overlord older $34.99 1,209 77% 36k $1.3M (exactly $1,269,087) Digital Eclipse
Rogue Lords older $24.99 1,442 71% 43k $1.1M (exactly $1,081,067) Leikir Studio, Cyanide Studio
King's Bounty: Dark Side older $12.99 1,413 72% 42k $551k (exactly $550,646) Fulqrum Publishing
Immortal Realms: Vampire Wars older $29.99 408 62% 12k $367k (exactly $367,078) Palindrome Interactive
Few Nights More $14.99 382 81% 11k $172k (exactly $171,785) Aeterna Ludi
Golden Krone Hotel older $9.99 313 94% 9.4k $94k (exactly $93,806) Vulgat
Project: AHNO's Ark $12.99 120 92% 3.6k $47k (exactly $46,764) PHOSEPO
Deliverance & Reign older $7.99 106 80% 3.2k $25k (exactly $25,408) One Up Plus
Ascension to the Throne: Valkyrie $4.99 102 89% 3.1k $15k (exactly $15,269) DVS
Breath of Death VII: The Beginning: Reanimated $4.99 53 86% 1.6k $7.9k (exactly $7,934) Shadow Layer Games LLC
Desideratum: Blood Bonds · EA $19.99 7 85% 210 $4.2k (exactly $4,198) Anaximanes Entertainment
Boundless AI Fantasy $9.99 8 87% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) João Vitor Andrioli de Souza
Hollow INN $6.49 7 85% 210 $1.4k (exactly $1,363) Nussygame
Desideratum $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Anaximanes Entertainment
Gamers Club Repeat $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) S Xavier Uy
Moon and Fang $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) WivernRider

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.