Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based StrategyTurn-Based Strategy + Time Manipulation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time Manipulation Turn-Based Strategy?

Turn-Based Strategy + Time Manipulation

Only 9 developers shipped a Time Manipulation Turn-Based Strategy in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Reptilian Rising, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×5.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $150 against a market of $630. 22 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 268735% on the market, 22 announced, ×5.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Strategy + Time Manipulation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Turn-Based Strategy + Time Manipulation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 5% $6.3k (exactly $6,298)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 31
Announced 22
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Time Manipulation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Strategy, Time Manipulation
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 14,604 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $150, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $6.2k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaFair12 devs · median $19k · 17 announced
  2. + Cold WarFair18 devs · median $9.9k · 22 announced
  3. + RomeFair15 devs · median $9.0k · 18 announced
  4. + LootFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  6. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $3.7k · 12 announced
  7. + IdlerFair50 devs · median $3.6k · 45 announced
  8. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  9. + TanksFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  10. + SokobanFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 11 announced
  11. + Top-Down ShooterFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + SpaceFair107 devs · median $1.5k · 143 announced

All 187 pairs on the Turn-Based Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Phantom Brigade older $29.99 4,412 81% 132k $4.0M (exactly $3,969,476) Brace Yourself Games
5D Chess With Multiverse Time Travel older $11.99 8,097 96% 243k $2.9M (exactly $2,912,491) Conor Petersen, Thunkspace, LLC
Cris Tales older $39.99 392 66% 12k $470k (exactly $470,282) Dreams Uncorporated, SYCK
No Plan B older $14.99 761 86% 23k $342k (exactly $342,222) GFX47
Iron Danger older $19.99 544 73% 16k $326k (exactly $326,237) Action Squad Studios
Mobiles Tycoon older $5.99 177 83% 5.3k $32k (exactly $31,807) Insignis Games
Red Ronin older $7.99 119 87% 3.6k $29k (exactly $28,524) Wired Dreams Studio
Meet me at NooN older $9.99 55 100% 1.7k $16k (exactly $16,484) Pandaroo Interactive
Oakenfold older $19.99 24 70% 720 $14k (exactly $14,393) Rutger van Dijk
12 Labours of Hercules XII: Timeless Adventure older $11.99 23 91% 690 $8.3k (exactly $8,273) Zoom Out Games, Jetdogs Studios
Reptilian Rising $29.99 7 100% 210 $6.3k (exactly $6,298) Gregarious Games, Robot Circus, Hyper L… (Gregarious Games, Robot Circus, Hyper Luminal Games)
NUSNUR $4.99 16 100% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) Team PARAFOX
LHEA and the Word Spirit $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Soul Fuel Games
BOT.vinnik Chess: Legendary Queens $1.99 15 93% 450 $896 (exactly $896) Deep Green Games
THE BEST INVESTOR $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) THE FRENCH GRINDER
After He Was Gone $10.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Nono
A Simple Square $4.79 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Antharuu
Time Riggers $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) CocoMimi Games
Sudoku online with friends $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Ilya Cherkasov

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.