Do I ship it?

GamesSurvivalSurvival + Werewolves

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Werewolf Survival game?

Survival + Werewolves

Only 8 developers shipped a Werewolf Survival game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Night is Coming, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×5.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×462 the market median. Revenue is up 115% on the market; 28 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 115% on the market, 28 announced, ×5.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival + Werewolves
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Survival + Werewolves: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.1k (exactly $1,078)
Top 25% $24k (exactly $23,581)
Top 5% $290k (exactly $290,134)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 34
Announced 28
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 115% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Werewolves
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 34,572 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.1k, 1 in 4 over $23k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds14 devs · median $74k · 10 announced
  2. + Social DeductionFair31 devs · median $6.2k · 35 announced
  3. + Word GameFair22 devs · median $2.1k · 29 announced
  4. + CatsFair33 devs · median $1.2k · 34 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair77 devs · median $1.0k · 84 announced
  6. + IdlerFair96 devs · median $836 · 99 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair79 devs · median $807 · 90 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair101 devs · median $599 · 130 announced
  9. + DogsFair20 devs · median $535 · 19 announced
  10. + Martial ArtsLong shot19 devs · median $419 · 17 announced
  11. + Boomer ShooterLong shot39 devs · median $359 · 32 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds16 devs · median $100k · 28 announced

All 234 pairs on the Survival page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Town of Salem older $4.99 30,882 88% 926k $4.6M (exactly $4,623,035) BlankMediaGames
KeeperRL older $19.99 1,677 83% 50k $1.0M (exactly $1,005,697) Electric Succubi
Night is Coming · EA $24.99 387 59% 12k $290k (exactly $290,134) Wild Forest Studio
The Matriarch older $4.99 724 75% 22k $108k (exactly $108,383) Chewa
Lycans older $4.99 309 91% 9.3k $46k (exactly $46,257) Onu Games
S.P.A.T. · EA older $11.99 125 49% 3.8k $45k (exactly $44,962) DeadGrass Games
Sinister Halloween older $7.99 125 82% 3.8k $30k (exactly $29,962) Celeritas Games
Barking from the Dark $3.99 197 88% 5.9k $24k (exactly $23,581) shoftArt
The Dark World · EA older $19.99 33 54% 990 $20k (exactly $19,790) Digital Gods
Horror Legends older $4.99 113 88% 3.4k $17k (exactly $16,916) October Games
Cursed Deal $7.99 51 98% 1.5k $12k (exactly $12,225) Massive Crystal Studios
Ghoul Thrasher $5.99 6 83% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,078) Magic Quest Media
Lost Dreams $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Cat Dreams Ar
Tribe of Werewolves · EA $2.99 4 50% 120 $359 (exactly $359) Gokmen Bolat
Nocturne Maze: Shadows in the Hedge $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Xayba
Animal Island: The Wolf’s Onslaught $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) ChaoticPendulumStudio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.