Do I ship it?

GamesSurvivalSurvival + Vampires

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Vampire Survival game?

Survival + Vampires

Of 33 developers who shipped a Vampire Survival game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $440k, ×702 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 44 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 44 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival + Vampires
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 33
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $269 → $1.8k → $6.9k → $19k → $1.1k → $449 → $4.2k (still earning) → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Survival + Vampires: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 33
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $16,184)
Top 5% $441k (exactly $440,779)
Developers, 2 yr 33
Released games 90
Announced 44
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Vampires
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Exploration, Action-Adventure
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Lore-Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 3,237 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $900, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $440k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds14 devs · median $74k · 10 announced
  2. + Social DeductionFair31 devs · median $6.2k · 35 announced
  3. + Word GameFair22 devs · median $2.1k · 29 announced
  4. + CatsFair33 devs · median $1.2k · 34 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair77 devs · median $1.0k · 84 announced
  6. + IdlerFair96 devs · median $836 · 99 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair79 devs · median $807 · 90 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair101 devs · median $599 · 130 announced
  9. + DogsFair20 devs · median $535 · 19 announced
  10. + Martial ArtsLong shot19 devs · median $419 · 17 announced
  11. + Boomer ShooterLong shot39 devs · median $359 · 32 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds16 devs · median $100k · 28 announced

All 234 pairs on the Survival page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Resident Evil Village older $39.99 106,447 95% 3.2M $128M (exactly $127,704,466) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
V Rising older $34.99 110,505 89% 3.3M $116M (exactly $115,997,098) Stunlock Studios
The Infected · EA older $15.99 6,583 84% 197k $3.2M (exactly $3,157,865) DigX Studios
KeeperRL older $19.99 1,677 83% 50k $1.0M (exactly $1,005,697) Electric Succubi
Vampires: Bloodlord Rising · EA $19.99 1,631 70% 49k $978k (exactly $978,111) Mehuman Games
Eternal Evil older $29.99 545 74% 16k $490k (exactly $490,336) Honor Games
Priest Simulator: Vampire Show $19.99 735 94% 22k $441k (exactly $440,779) Asmodev
Scarlet Tower older $6.99 1,831 81% 55k $384k (exactly $383,961) Pyxeralia LLC
Nosferatu: The Wrath of Malachi older $2.99 1,581 90% 47k $142k (exactly $141,816) Idol FX
Space Accident VR $16.99 231 82% 6.9k $118k (exactly $117,741) VR-WRG
Duriano $14.99 117 95% 3.5k $53k (exactly $52,615) Adisoft Gaming Co.,Ltd.
Dofamine VR $9.99 173 82% 5.2k $52k (exactly $51,848) VR-WRG
Discolored 2 $19.99 59 72% 1.8k $35k (exactly $35,382) Godbey Games
Arcana Academy $14.99 67 71% 2.0k $30k (exactly $30,130) 2A Studio
Silent Slayer: Vault of the Vampire $19.99 41 70% 1.2k $25k (exactly $24,588) Schell Games
Bronana $4.99 129 68% 3.9k $19k (exactly $19,311) busy bear
Decks of the Damned $9.99 54 68% 1.6k $16k (exactly $16,184) Thorian Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.