Games › Survival › Survival + Trains
Should I ship a Train Survival game?
Survival + Trains
Only 16 developers shipped a Train Survival game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Voidtrain, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $24k, ×38 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $7.8M, ×12483 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 36 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $899 (exactly $899) |
|---|---|
| Median | $24k (exactly $23,706) |
| Top 25% | $255k (exactly $255,027) |
| Top 5% | $7.8M (exactly $7,839,086) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 42 |
| Announced | 36 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 600% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Survival; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Base Building, Building
- Price point
- $14.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.
The top 10 games average 76% positive over 13,225 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $900. 36 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Survival with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Social DeductionFair
- + Word GameFair
- + CatsFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + DogsFair
- + Martial ArtsLong shot
- + Boomer ShooterLong shot
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
Comparable games
Factorio 2020 · $201M 
Stormworks: Build and Rescue 2020 · $41M 
Unrailed! 2020 · $8.3M 
Voidtrain 2025 · $7.8M 
Last Train Home 2023 · $5.4M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Factorio | older | $35.00 | 191,814 97% | 5.8M | $201M (exactly $201,404,700) | Wube Software LTD. |
| | Stormworks: Build and Rescue | older | $24.99 | 54,649 90% | 1.6M | $41M (exactly $40,970,355) | Geometa |
| | Unrailed! | older | $19.99 | 13,789 93% | 414k | $8.3M (exactly $8,269,263) | Indoor Astronaut |
| | Voidtrain | $29.99 | 8,713 73% | 261k | $7.8M (exactly $7,839,086) | HypeTrain Digital | |
| | Last Train Home | older | $39.99 | 4,511 86% | 135k | $5.4M (exactly $5,411,847) | Ashborne Games |
 | The Final Station | older | $14.99 | 6,739 88% | 202k | $3.0M (exactly $3,030,528) | DO MY BEST |
 | Zompiercer | · EA older | $19.99 | 4,562 88% | 137k | $2.7M (exactly $2,735,831) | DDDimanN |
 | Sunless Skies: Sovereign Edition | older | $24.99 | 2,661 84% | 80k | $2.0M (exactly $1,994,952) | Failbetter Games |
 | Trans-Siberian Railway Simulator | · EA older | $19.99 | 1,835 91% | 55k | $1.1M (exactly $1,100,450) | Pentacle |
 | Unrailed 2: Back on Track | $19.99 | 1,794 88% | 54k | $1.1M (exactly $1,075,862) | Indoor Astronaut | |
 | OxyRail | · EA | $14.99 | 949 80% | 28k | $427k (exactly $426,765) | OxygenTech Limited |
 | Heat Death: Survival Train | · EA | $11.99 | 709 77% | 21k | $255k (exactly $255,027) | Mass Game Devs |
 | EverRail | · EA | $14.99 | 372 69% | 11k | $167k (exactly $167,288) | Aesir Interactive |
 | Steel Artery: Train City Builder | $14.99 | 305 71% | 9.2k | $137k (exactly $137,158) | SoulAge23 | |
 | Goblin Company | $9.99 | 282 81% | 8.5k | $85k (exactly $84,515) | BitBorne Studio | |
 | Union Of Rivals | · EA | $25.49 | 31 64% | 930 | $24k (exactly $23,706) | 2Play |
 | Belts of Iron | · EA | $14.99 | 46 89% | 1.4k | $21k (exactly $20,686) | Builderment LLC |
 | ExoTrain | · EA | $14.99 | 24 75% | 720 | $11k (exactly $10,793) | Harpoon Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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