Do I ship it?

Games › Survival › Survival + Tanks

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tanks Survival game?

Survival + Tanks

Only 9 developers shipped a Tanks Survival game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, METAL GEAR SOLID Δ: SNAKE EATER, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $5.7M, ×9124 the market median. Revenue is up 70% on the market; 14 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 70% on the market, 14 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival + Tanks
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $359 → $30 → $5.7M → $598 (still earning) → $555k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Survival + Tanks: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,346)
Top 25% $28k (exactly $27,872)
Top 5% $5.7M (exactly $5,730,134)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 50
Announced 14
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 70% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Tanks
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival, Tanks; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cinematic, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 26,733 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $27k, 1 in 20 over $5.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 14 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds14 devs · median $74k · 10 announced
  2. + Social DeductionFair31 devs · median $6.2k · 35 announced
  3. + Word GameFair22 devs · median $2.1k · 29 announced
  4. + CatsFair33 devs · median $1.2k · 34 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair77 devs · median $1.0k · 84 announced
  6. + IdlerFair96 devs · median $836 · 99 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair79 devs · median $807 · 90 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair101 devs · median $599 · 130 announced
  9. + DogsFair20 devs · median $535 · 19 announced
  10. + Martial ArtsLong shot19 devs · median $419 · 17 announced
  11. + Boomer ShooterLong shot39 devs · median $359 · 32 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds16 devs · median $100k · 28 announced

All 234 pairs on the Survival page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Call of Duty: World at War 2008 · $27M METAL GEAR SOLID Δ: SNAKE EATER 2025 · $20M The Front 2025 · $5.7M METAL GEAR SOLID 3: Snake Eater - Master Collection Version 2023 · $3.2M METAL GEAR SOLID 4: Guns of the Patriots - Master Collection Version 2026 · $2.1M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Call of Duty: World at War older $19.99 45,792 92% 1.4M $27M (exactly $27,461,462) Treyarch
METAL GEAR SOLID Δ: SNAKE EATER $49.99 13,554 82% 407k $20M (exactly $20,326,934) KONAMI
The Front $19.99 9,555 66% 287k $5.7M (exactly $5,730,134) Samar Studio
METAL GEAR SOLID 3: Snake Eater - Master Collection Version older $19.99 5,403 89% 162k $3.2M (exactly $3,240,179) KONAMI
METAL GEAR SOLID 4: Guns of the Patriots - Master Collection Version $29.99 2,315 96% 69k $2.1M (exactly $2,082,806) KONAMI
METAL GEAR SOLID: Peace Walker - Master Collection Version $19.99 925 79% 28k $555k (exactly $554,722) KONAMI
Armored Battle Crew [World War 1] - Tank Warfare and Crew Management Simulator · EA older $19.99 635 32% 19k $381k (exactly $380,809) Gattai Games
Red Orchestra: Ostfront 41-45 older $4.99 1,510 85% 45k $226k (exactly $226,047) Tripwire Interactive
Out of Ammo older $9.99 699 84% 21k $209k (exactly $209,490) RocketWerkz
Steel Fury: Kharkov 1942 older $14.99 204 74% 6.1k $92k (exactly $91,739) Graviteam
METAL GEAR SOLID: MASTER COLLECTION Vol.2 $49.99 49 65% 1.5k $73k (exactly $73,485) KONAMI
Neuroshima Hex $9.99 93 72% 2.8k $28k (exactly $27,872) Baked Games
Thunder Tank: Iron Shield $3.99 221 82% 6.6k $26k (exactly $26,454) Crazy Studio
Contract of Swarm Hunter $2.99 15 93% 450 $1.3k (exactly $1,346) ZYI Game
Tread Heavy $3.99 5 100% 150 $598 (exactly $598) Nos Games LTD
Guud Dawg! $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) ShadeEleven

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.