Do I ship it?

Games › Strategy RPG › Strategy RPG + Top-Down Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Top-Down Shooter Strategy RPG?

Strategy RPG + Top-Down Shooter

Only 10 developers shipped a Top-Down Shooter Strategy RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Evolve or Die, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $150 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 9 developers shipped in the last year and 23 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 23 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Strategy RPG + Top-Down Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $148 → $8.8k → $150 (still earning) → $179 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Strategy RPG + Top-Down Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $5.5k (exactly $5,513)
Top 5% $38k (exactly $37,724)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 34
Announced 23
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 800% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Strategy RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Top-Down Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Strategy RPG, Top-Down Shooter
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 94% positive over 345 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $180, 1 in 4 over $5.5k, 1 in 20 over $37k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 23 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Strategy RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SportsFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  2. + SwordplayFair22 devs · median $2.7k · 28 announced
  3. + Bullet HellFair40 devs · median $2.0k · 31 announced
  4. + EconomyFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced
  5. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + ConspiracyFair19 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Shop KeeperFair21 devs · median $987 · 25 announced
  8. + 2D PlatformerFair108 devs · median $479 · 113 announced
  9. + Point & ClickFair43 devs · median $450 · 47 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds58 devs · median $63k · 76 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds30 devs · median $35k · 41 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds15 devs · median $31k · 33 announced

All 158 pairs on the Strategy RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Red Solstice 2: Survivors 2021 · $1.2M 最后的仙门 The last Practice Sect 2022 · $60k Evolve or Die 2025 · $38k Sierra Ops - Space Strategy Visual Novel 2020 · $19k NEXT JUMP: Shmup Tactics 2017 · $9.3k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Red Solstice 2: Survivors older $14.99 2,585 70% 78k $1.2M (exactly $1,162,474) Ironward
最后的仙门 The last Practice Sect older $3.99 504 53% 15k $60k (exactly $60,329) 栖鸾工作室
Evolve or Die $4.99 252 98% 7.6k $38k (exactly $37,724) Seal
Sierra Ops - Space Strategy Visual Novel older $14.99 42 80% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) Innomen Team
NEXT JUMP: Shmup Tactics older $3.99 78 80% 2.3k $9.3k (exactly $9,337) Post Mortem Pixels
NightMare King $4.99 59 83% 1.8k $8.8k (exactly $8,832) Starmoon Cat
Battle Craft older $17.99 16 81% 480 $8.6k (exactly $8,635) Yaremchuk
Dust & Courage: Jake Bolton’s Journey $7.99 23 86% 690 $5.5k (exactly $5,513) Storyforge Games
Enemy Engaged 2: Desert Operations older $8.99 15 40% 450 $4.0k (exactly $4,046) G2 Games
Ultrazone older $9.99 13 76% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Gamesforgames
PESKY ORCS! · EA $2.99 5 100% 150 $449 (exactly $449) Johannes Lott
DeadEye: A Roguelike Shooter · EA $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) AliceCatto
PARTICLE: Into the Void $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Part of Void
Dusky Cap $0.99 2 0% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Cap
TechWorld $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) KTGAMES
WanYaoChao $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 否飞
A Game About Leading A Crowds $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Jacobdev

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.