Do I ship it?

GamesStrategy RPGStrategy RPG + Time Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time Management Strategy RPG?

Strategy RPG + Time Management

Of 72 developers who shipped a Time Management Strategy RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 98 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×2.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $160k, ×264 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 98 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 98 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Strategy RPG + Time Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 72
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $539 → $18k → $28k → $7.2k → $779 → $3.0k → $958 (still earning) → $3.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Strategy RPG + Time Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 72
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,619)
Top 25% $20k (exactly $19,780)
Top 5% $166k (exactly $165,688)
Developers, 2 yr 72
Released games 167
Announced 98
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Strategy RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Time Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Strategy RPG, Time Management; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, RPG, Simulation
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 29,055 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $19k, 1 in 20 over $160k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 7 in 10 of the 38 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 98 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Strategy RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SportsFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  2. + SwordplayFair22 devs · median $2.7k · 28 announced
  3. + Bullet HellFair40 devs · median $2.0k · 31 announced
  4. + EconomyFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced
  5. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + ConspiracyFair19 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Shop KeeperFair21 devs · median $987 · 25 announced
  8. + 2D PlatformerFair108 devs · median $479 · 113 announced
  9. + Point & ClickFair43 devs · median $450 · 47 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds58 devs · median $63k · 76 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds30 devs · median $35k · 41 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds15 devs · median $31k · 33 announced

All 158 pairs on the Strategy RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Metaphor: ReFantazio $69.99 25,224 89% 757k $53M (exactly $52,962,833) ATLUS
Loop Hero older $14.99 33,816 92% 1.0M $15M (exactly $15,207,055) Four Quarters
BOOK OF HOURS older $24.99 4,129 89% 124k $3.1M (exactly $3,095,511) Weather Factory
Punch Club 2: Fast Forward older $19.99 3,808 81% 114k $2.3M (exactly $2,283,658) Lazy Bear Games
Crossroads Inn Anniversary Edition older $14.99 3,579 55% 107k $1.6M (exactly $1,609,476) Klabater
Retirement Simulator · EA older $13.99 3,757 34% 113k $1.6M (exactly $1,576,813) DoubleThink Studio
No Time to Relax older $13.99 2,486 92% 75k $1.0M (exactly $1,043,374) Porcelain Fortress
Siege Survival: Gloria Victis older $24.99 1,367 79% 41k $1.0M (exactly $1,024,840) Black Eye Games
One Military Camp older $24.99 684 75% 21k $513k (exactly $512,795) Abylight Barcelona
道衍诀 · EA older $11.99 988 49% 30k $355k (exactly $355,384) 宁德动游网络科技有限公司
Medieval Crafter: Blacksmith $11.99 745 76% 22k $268k (exactly $267,976) Compact Core Games
万象群侠传 $8.99 853 85% 26k $230k (exactly $230,054) 火天工作室
This Grand Life 2 $17.99 307 88% 9.2k $166k (exactly $165,688) Poking Water Games
👑Idle Calibur:Zero💕(选王之剑:零) $10.99 445 80% 13k $147k (exactly $146,716) 绝汪
Requiem of Reuinis $11.99 359 91% 11k $129k (exactly $129,132) Zaxiquej, Otogen Studio
生嚿叉燒好過生你 $14.99 284 88% 8.5k $128k (exactly $127,715) 無厘頭遊戲工作室
A Hero's Rest: An RPG Town Simulator $24.99 160 67% 4.8k $120k (exactly $119,952) Vanargand Games
Esports History $9.99 387 77% 12k $116k (exactly $115,984) Quantum Gear Studios
TK Punk Gold $11.99 291 87% 8.7k $105k (exactly $104,673) 桑尼游戏(Sunny Game)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.