Do I ship it?

GamesStrategy RPGStrategy RPG + Tabletop

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tabletop Strategy RPG?

Strategy RPG + Tabletop

Of 37 developers who shipped a Tabletop Strategy RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 83 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×2.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $460k, ×737 the market median. Revenue is up 145% on the market; 83 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 145% on the market, 83 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Strategy RPG + Tabletop
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 37
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.8k → $37k → $3.6k → $1.8k → $1.6k → $1.7k → $2.5k (still earning) → $2.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Strategy RPG + Tabletop: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 37
Bottom 30% $178 (exactly $178)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,617)
Top 25% $21k (exactly $21,434)
Top 5% $463k (exactly $462,918)
Developers, 2 yr 37
Released games 116
Announced 83
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 145% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Strategy RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Strategy RPG, Tabletop; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, RPG, Tactical RPG
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 3,225 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $21k, 1 in 20 over $460k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 83 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Strategy RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SportsFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  2. + SwordplayFair22 devs · median $2.7k · 28 announced
  3. + Bullet HellFair40 devs · median $2.0k · 31 announced
  4. + EconomyFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced
  5. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + ConspiracyFair19 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Shop KeeperFair21 devs · median $987 · 25 announced
  8. + 2D PlatformerFair108 devs · median $479 · 113 announced
  9. + Point & ClickFair43 devs · median $450 · 47 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds58 devs · median $63k · 76 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds30 devs · median $35k · 41 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds15 devs · median $31k · 33 announced

All 158 pairs on the Strategy RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
For The King older $19.99 31,038 87% 931k $19M (exactly $18,613,489) IronOak Games
Ultimate General: Civil War older $29.99 8,331 88% 250k $7.5M (exactly $7,495,401) Game-Labs
TRIANGLE STRATEGY older $59.99 3,239 78% 97k $5.8M (exactly $5,829,228) Square Enix, ARTDINK
BOOK OF HOURS older $24.99 4,129 89% 124k $3.1M (exactly $3,095,511) Weather Factory
Demeo x Dungeons & Dragons: Battlemarked $29.99 1,235 82% 37k $1.1M (exactly $1,111,130) Resolution Games
Radio Commander: Vietnam '64 older $19.99 1,764 72% 53k $1.1M (exactly $1,057,871) Serious Sim
No Time to Relax older $13.99 2,486 92% 75k $1.0M (exactly $1,043,374) Porcelain Fortress
Tales & Tactics older $17.99 1,737 80% 52k $937k (exactly $937,459) Table 9 Studio
Warhammer Quest (Classic) older $29.99 897 71% 27k $807k (exactly $807,031) Rodeo Games, Twistplay
Headquarters: World War II older $39.99 508 74% 15k $609k (exactly $609,448) Starni Games
Terrinoth®: Heroes of Descent $34.99 441 75% 13k $463k (exactly $462,918) Artefacts Studio, Shine Group
Viractal: Will You Trust Your Party? $24.99 448 88% 13k $336k (exactly $335,866) Sting
Dobbel Dungeon $19.99 441 92% 13k $264k (exactly $264,468) Gamepie
Stack to Ascension $12.99 331 54% 9.9k $129k (exactly $128,991) Stack to Ascension
Project: AHNO's Ark $12.99 120 92% 3.6k $47k (exactly $46,764) PHOSEPO
Headquarters: Cold War $29.99 37 64% 1.1k $33k (exactly $33,289) Starni Games
Successor $24.99 43 60% 1.3k $32k (exactly $32,237) Playwood Project
Kingdom of Cards $11.99 74 72% 2.2k $27k (exactly $26,618) Rubber Duck Games
劍紙三國 $12.99 55 98% 1.7k $21k (exactly $21,434) JGame CO., LTD.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.