Games › Strategy RPG › Strategy RPG + Supernatural
Should I ship a Supernatural Strategy RPG?
Strategy RPG + Supernatural
Only 18 developers shipped a Supernatural Strategy RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, 消失的航班，还有她她她！Lost in the secret!, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $360k, ×575 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 24 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $210 (exactly $210) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.8k (exactly $1,797) |
| Top 25% | $16k (exactly $16,184) |
| Top 5% | $361k (exactly $361,019) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 18 |
| Released games | 38 |
| Announced | 24 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Strategy RPG
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Supernatural
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Strategy RPG; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Adventure, Strategy
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 1,142 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $210. 7 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Strategy RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SportsFair
- + SwordplayFair
- + Bullet HellFair
- + EconomyFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair
- + ConspiracyFair
- + Shop KeeperFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
Comparable games
Persona 3 Reload 2024 · $78M 
Total War: WARHAMMER 2016 · $58M 
Marvel's Midnight Suns 2022 · $31M 
The Lamplighters League 2023 · $1.1M 
Rogue Lords 2021 · $1.1M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Persona 3 Reload | older | $59.99 | 43,497 95% | 1.3M | $78M (exactly $78,281,551) | ATLUS |
| | Total War: WARHAMMER | older | $59.99 | 32,105 79% | 963k | $58M (exactly $57,779,368) | CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (L… (CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (Linux), Feral Interactive (Mac)) |
| | Marvel's Midnight Suns | older | $59.99 | 17,060 82% | 512k | $31M (exactly $30,702,882) | Firaxis Games |
| | The Lamplighters League | older | $49.99 | 726 71% | 22k | $1.1M (exactly $1,088,782) | Harebrained Schemes |
| | Rogue Lords | older | $24.99 | 1,442 71% | 43k | $1.1M (exactly $1,081,067) | Leikir Studio, Cyanide Studio |
 | 消失的航班，还有她她她！Lost in the secret! | $19.99 | 602 89% | 18k | $361k (exactly $361,019) | Humongous Pictures | |
 | Shardpunk | older | $13.99 | 739 92% | 22k | $310k (exactly $310,158) | Clockwork Pile |
 | Exorcism Agency | $12.99 | 222 91% | 6.7k | $87k (exactly $86,513) | YINGGUO GAME | |
 | Deck of Souls | $11.99 | 153 84% | 4.6k | $55k (exactly $55,034) | Bigboot Studios | |
 | Tokyo Twilight Ghost Hunters Daybreak: Special Gigs | older | $9.99 | 67 52% | 2.0k | $20k (exactly $20,080) | Arc System Works, TOYBOX Inc. |
 | AnnaRedux | $19.99 | 29 79% | 870 | $17k (exactly $17,391) | 那什么游戏制作日记 | |
 | RECORD_DrowsyVortex | $9.99 | 54 100% | 1.6k | $16k (exactly $16,184) | LunarHillz | |
 | Winter Clothing | $9.99 | 41 75% | 1.2k | $12k (exactly $12,288) | 坤舆科技 | |
 | Expedition: Shadow World | $15.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $5.8k (exactly $5,756) | Pavel Tanonov | |
 | 蚀界档案 | $9.99 | 10 80% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | 深圳市创源互娱科技有限公司 | |
 | 污水危机：起源 Sewage Crisis: Origins | $5.99 | 10 30% | 300 | $1.8k (exactly $1,797) | 水淼水 | |
 | Magic Cauldron - Dungeons | $4.99 | 9 77% | 270 | $1.3k (exactly $1,347) | Manuel Schenk Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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