Do I ship it?

GamesSurvival HorrorSurvival Horror + Snow

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Snow Survival Horror?

Survival Horror + Snow

Only 17 developers shipped a Snow Survival Horror in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Pale Mimic, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $360. Revenue is up 170% on the market; 15 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 170% on the market, 15 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival Horror + Snow
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.9k → $1.3k → $13k → $5.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Survival Horror + Snow: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $360 (exactly $360)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $13,187)
Top 5% $83k (exactly $82,696)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 35
Announced 15
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 170% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Snow
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival Horror; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Survival
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Third Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 914 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $82k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival Horror with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair13 devs · median $31k · 14 announced
  2. + DrivingFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  3. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 16 announced
  4. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + SportsFair5 devs · median $959 · 3 announced
  6. + Outbreak SimFair22 devs · median $958 · 24 announced
  7. + 3D PlatformerFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Boomer ShooterFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  9. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds10 devs · median $64k · 42 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Poor odds17 devs · median $52k · 21 announced
  11. + Spectacle fighterPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced
  12. + Social DeductionPoor odds14 devs · median $18k · 17 announced

All 159 pairs on the Survival Horror page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Kona older $14.99 2,795 82% 84k $1.3M (exactly $1,256,912) Parabole
Fade to Silence older $29.99 1,032 62% 31k $928k (exactly $928,490) Black Forest Games
Near Death older $7.99 1,010 91% 30k $242k (exactly $242,097) Orthogonal Games
The Pale Mimic $7.99 345 86% 10k $83k (exactly $82,696) Dark Snow Games
Fright Train $15.99 139 89% 4.2k $67k (exactly $66,678) WildArts Games
ANGST: A TALE OF SURVIVAL $7.99 227 86% 6.8k $54k (exactly $54,412) Cherrypick Games
Ice World $9.99 111 57% 3.3k $33k (exactly $33,267) CoolRabbit Games
There's Something In The Ice older $4.99 180 75% 5.4k $27k (exactly $26,946) JustTomcuk
The Cold White $9.99 44 45% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) 2MEDYA
Homeostasis $8.99 20 85% 600 $5.4k (exactly $5,394) Gasimo, Saas
RedLantern | 赤提灯 $4.99 9 66% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) KM Studios
Frozen Below: Arctic Expedition · EA $6.99 6 83% 180 $1.3k (exactly $1,258) Crowvisuals
Perikoto $7.99 5 80% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Ikuturso
Noelle $3.99 8 100% 240 $958 (exactly $958) Bandaloop Games GmbH

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.