Do I ship it?

GamesSurvival HorrorSurvival Horror + Incremental

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Incremental Survival Horror?

Survival Horror + Incremental

Only 16 developers shipped an Incremental Survival Horror in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Jeffrey Eggstein, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×2.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $240. Revenue is up 710% on the market; 19 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 710% on the market, 19 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival Horror + Incremental
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.1k → $239 → $1.6k → $3.1k (still earning) → $1.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Survival Horror + Incremental: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,617)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $17,258)
Top 5% $43k (exactly $43,413)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 53
Announced 19
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 710% on the market, supply 120% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Incremental
effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival Horror, Incremental; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Point & Click, RPG
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $18.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Text-Based
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 592 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $43k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival Horror with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair13 devs · median $31k · 14 announced
  2. + DrivingFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  3. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 16 announced
  4. + SnowFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  5. + SportsFair5 devs · median $959 · 3 announced
  6. + Outbreak SimFair22 devs · median $958 · 24 announced
  7. + 3D PlatformerFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Boomer ShooterFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  9. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds10 devs · median $64k · 42 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Poor odds17 devs · median $52k · 21 announced
  11. + Spectacle fighterPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced
  12. + Social DeductionPoor odds14 devs · median $18k · 17 announced

All 159 pairs on the Survival Horror page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
My Name is Mayo older $0.99 2,605 85% 78k $77k (exactly $77,368) Green Lava Studios
KUNKUN Defender older $2.99 822 97% 25k $74k (exactly $73,733) Seal
GAME.exe older $3.99 415 83% 12k $50k (exactly $49,676) Punx Studios
Jeffrey Eggstein · EA $4.99 290 94% 8.7k $43k (exactly $43,413) Grabba Guild Games LLC
Sera's Adventure -Cave of Destruction- $18.99 76 53% 2.3k $43k (exactly $43,297) 渡里laboratory
Oik 2 older $0.99 1,302 93% 39k $39k (exactly $38,669) Crew Lab
Dark Notes older $7.99 108 75% 3.2k $26k (exactly $25,888) HeartBeat Plus
翎之歌 $6.99 83 89% 2.5k $17k (exactly $17,405) YuKi制作组, 崩溃猛犸
Kittens Game · EA $7.99 72 94% 2.2k $17k (exactly $17,258) Nuclear Unicorn
Four Color Jump older $1.99 257 86% 7.7k $15k (exactly $15,343) No.25
SKIBIDI $4.99 21 100% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) Baza Company
The Princess Factory $4.99 13 100% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Haymaker Game Studios
Phantom Playhouse $7.99 8 62% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) Kakytron
Th3_M1dday_L4dies $5.99 9 44% 270 $1.6k (exactly $1,617) nonhumans
The Boston Breeder $12.99 4 25% 120 $1.6k (exactly $1,559) LostWorks
Spin to Survive $2.99 16 93% 480 $1.4k (exactly $1,435) Seal

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.