Do I ship it?

Games › Survival Horror › Survival Horror + LGBTQ+

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an LGBTQ+ Survival Horror?

Survival Horror + LGBTQ+

Only 17 developers shipped an LGBTQ+ Survival Horror in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Last of Us™ Part II Remastered, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $52k, ×83 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $4.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $51M, ×81796 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 21 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 83.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 21 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival Horror + LGBTQ+
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $77k → $2.0M → $52k → $33k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Survival Horror + LGBTQ+: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $4.2k (exactly $4,196)
Median $52k (exactly $52,183)
Top 25% $535k (exactly $534,693)
Top 5% $51M (exactly $51,367,724)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 67
Announced 21
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
LGBTQ+
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival Horror; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Adventure
Price point
$14.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Dark, Atmospheric, Emotional
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 71,821 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $4.2k, median $52k, 1 in 4 over $530k, 1 in 20 over $51M.

3 in 10 developers made under $4.2k. 4 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival Horror with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair13 devs · median $31k · 14 announced
  2. + DrivingFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  3. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 16 announced
  4. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + SnowFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  6. + SportsFair5 devs · median $959 · 3 announced
  7. + Outbreak SimFair22 devs · median $958 · 24 announced
  8. + 3D PlatformerFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds10 devs · median $64k · 42 announced
  11. + Spectacle fighterPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced
  12. + Social DeductionPoor odds14 devs · median $18k · 17 announced

All 159 pairs on the Survival Horror page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Dead by Daylight 2016 · $411M The Last of Us™ Part II Remastered 2025 · $51M Sultan's Game 2025 · $19M SIGNALIS 2022 · $18M FATAL FRAME / PROJECT ZERO: Maiden of Black Water 2021 · $6.5M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dead by Daylight older $19.99 685,423 78% 21M $411M (exactly $411,048,173) Behaviour Interactive Inc.
The Last of Us™ Part II Remastered $49.99 34,252 90% 1.0M $51M (exactly $51,367,724) Naughty Dog LLC, Nixxes Software, Iron… (Naughty Dog LLC, Nixxes Software, Iron Galaxy Studios)
Sultan's Game $24.99 25,061 93% 752k $19M (exactly $18,788,232) Double Cross
SIGNALIS older $19.99 30,601 96% 918k $18M (exactly $18,351,420) rose-engine
FATAL FRAME / PROJECT ZERO: Maiden of Black Water older $39.99 5,442 82% 163k $6.5M (exactly $6,528,767) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Dream Daddy: A Dad Dating Simulator older $14.99 5,408 91% 162k $2.4M (exactly $2,431,978) Game Grumps
Changed older $4.99 16,062 88% 482k $2.4M (exactly $2,404,481) DragonSnow
The Headliners $7.99 8,534 86% 256k $2.0M (exactly $2,045,600) KAFI
Sorry We're Closed $24.99 1,643 98% 49k $1.2M (exactly $1,231,757) à la mode games
FlatOut 3: Chaos & Destruction older $9.99 3,672 17% 110k $1.1M (exactly $1,100,498) Team 6 Studios
YKMET: Strade $14.99 1,189 98% 36k $535k (exactly $534,693) Gatobob
BrokenLore: UNFOLLOW $19.99 247 73% 7.4k $148k (exactly $148,126) Serafini Productions
Bureau of Contacts $7.99 569 81% 17k $136k (exactly $136,389) MIROWIN
Project Songbird $14.99 195 85% 5.9k $88k (exactly $87,692) FYRE Games, Conner Rush
Togainu no Chi: True Blood NITRO ARCHIVE $29.99 58 98% 1.7k $52k (exactly $52,183) NITRO PLUS, NITRO CHiRAL
Paradise: Musubi $14.99 73 98% 2.2k $33k (exactly $32,828) PIL/SLASH

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.