Do I ship it?

GamesSpectacle fighterSpectacle fighter + Survival Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Survival Horror Spectacle fighter?

Spectacle fighter + Survival Horror

Only 8 developers shipped a Survival Horror Spectacle fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Onimusha: Way of the Sword, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $52k, ×35 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $4.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $23M, ×15809 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 12 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 34.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 12 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Spectacle fighter + Survival Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Spectacle fighter + Survival Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $4.0k (exactly $4,042)
Median $52k (exactly $52,183)
Top 25% $1.7M (exactly $1,717,156)
Top 5% $24M (exactly $23,682,516)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 30
Announced 12
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $19.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Spectacle fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Spectacle fighter, Survival Horror
Price point
$19.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 18,128 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $4.1k, median $52k, 1 in 4 over $1.7M, 1 in 20 over $23M.

3 in 10 developers made under $4.1k. 12 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Spectacle fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Score AttackFair31 devs · median $4.3k · 29 announced
  2. + HorrorFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 16 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $65k · 11 announced
  4. + Character Action GamePoor odds22 devs · median $58k · 44 announced
  5. + HistoricalPoor odds16 devs · median $33k · 17 announced
  6. + Sci-fiPoor odds48 devs · median $17k · 82 announced
  7. + RobotsPoor odds15 devs · median $16k · 35 announced
  8. + MythologyPoor odds16 devs · median $11k · 24 announced
  9. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds45 devs · median $7.2k · 86 announced
  10. + FightingPoor odds25 devs · median $7.2k · 40 announced
  11. + Hack and SlashPoor odds77 devs · median $6.7k · 142 announced
  12. + NinjaPoor odds12 devs · median $6.6k · 18 announced

All 99 pairs on the Spectacle fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Onimusha: Way of the Sword $69.99 11,279 89% 338k $24M (exactly $23,682,516) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Onee Chanbara ORIGIN older $59.99 1,217 75% 37k $2.2M (exactly $2,190,235) Tamsoft
Slitterhead $49.99 1,145 78% 34k $1.7M (exactly $1,717,156) Bokeh Game Studio lnc.
Silly Polly Beast $19.99 2,278 90% 68k $1.4M (exactly $1,366,117) Anji
Onimusha 2: Samurai's Destiny $29.99 663 85% 20k $597k (exactly $596,501) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Vade Retro : Exorcist older $6.99 921 70% 28k $193k (exactly $193,134) Forceight
Ed-0: Zombie Uprising older $29.99 211 72% 6.3k $190k (exactly $189,837) LANCARSE
Blood And Zombies older $14.99 293 58% 8.8k $132k (exactly $131,762) Wild Monkey
Togainu no Chi: True Blood NITRO ARCHIVE $29.99 58 98% 1.7k $52k (exactly $52,183) NITRO PLUS, NITRO CHiRAL
Death Below older $9.99 63 58% 1.9k $19k (exactly $18,881) Soft
Phoenix's Faye $9.99 55 76% 1.7k $16k (exactly $16,484) BigFireball
Slasher $4.99 27 74% 810 $4.0k (exactly $4,042) Horrid Vision LLC
3 Hell $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Bekvi
Vambina $8.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) KAZX GAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.