Do I ship it?

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Specimen · observed

Should I ship a WWII Sniper game?

Sniper + World War II

Only 4 developers shipped a WWII Sniper game in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 8 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 more are announced, ×8.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.4k against a market of $630. 8 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 8 announced, ×8.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sniper + World War II
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Sniper + World War II: Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,798)
Top 25% $609k (exactly $609,448)
Top 5% $7.2M (exactly $7,236,052)
Developers, 4 yr 8
Released games 27
Announced 8
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sniper
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
World War II
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Sniper
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 143,214 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 4 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $600k, 1 in 20 over $7.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×8.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sniper with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Sci-fiFair9 devs · median $600 · 10 announced
  2. + ArcadeLong shot20 devs · median $300 · 14 announced
  3. + MilitaryPoor odds28 devs · median $3.0k · 38 announced
  4. + TacticalPoor odds22 devs · median $1.4k · 33 announced
  5. + Action-AdventurePoor odds15 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  6. + FPSPoor odds36 devs · median $899 · 57 announced
  7. + CombatPoor odds24 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  8. + Bullet TimePoor odds8 devs · median $899 · 6 announced
  9. + StealthPoor odds12 devs · median $779 · 22 announced
  10. + ShooterPoor odds55 devs · median $600 · 84 announced
  11. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds10 devs · median $600 · 11 announced
  12. + ActionPoor odds69 devs · median $598 · 89 announced

All 36 pairs on the Sniper page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Sniper Elite 4 2017 · $98M Sniper Elite 5 2022 · $37M Zombie Army Trilogy 2015 · $19M Sniper Elite 3 2014 · $19M Zombie Army 4: Dead War 2021 · $15M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sniper Elite 4 older $59.99 54,258 91% 1.6M $98M (exactly $97,648,123) Rebellion
Sniper Elite 5 older $49.99 24,818 83% 745k $37M (exactly $37,219,555) Rebellion
Zombie Army Trilogy older $44.99 14,285 85% 429k $19M (exactly $19,280,464) Rebellion
Sniper Elite 3 older $29.99 21,407 82% 642k $19M (exactly $19,259,878) Rebellion
Zombie Army 4: Dead War older $49.99 10,028 86% 301k $15M (exactly $15,038,992) Rebellion
Sniper Elite: Resistance $49.99 4,825 75% 145k $7.2M (exactly $7,236,052) Rebellion
Sniper Elite V2 Remastered older $34.99 3,437 78% 103k $3.6M (exactly $3,607,819) Rebellion
Sniper Elite: Nazi Zombie Army older $14.99 3,557 88% 107k $1.6M (exactly $1,599,583) Rebellion
Sniper Elite: Nazi Zombie Army 2 older $14.99 3,020 84% 91k $1.4M (exactly $1,358,094) ·
Sniper Elite older $7.99 3,579 76% 107k $858k (exactly $857,886) Rebellion
Cannon Clicker $5.99 8 75% 240 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Ritual Interactive
BLOCKADE War Stories .VR $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Novalink
Streamlands: Defense $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) NGD Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.